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Baskonia vs Leioa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baskonia in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baskonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Baskonia
35%
Draws
40%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leioa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Baskonia haven't matched Leioa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Baskonia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Baskonia Clean Sheet 18%
Leioa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baskonia Leioa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Baskonia
0:2
Nov 21, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Leioa
2:1
Mar 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Leioa
2:0
Nov 15, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Baskonia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baskonia 36 / 100
Leioa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baskonia Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leioa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baskonia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leioa conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Baskonia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leioa
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baskonia

(Home)
08 May
Eibar B
4 : 3
Baskonia
02 May
Baskonia
0 : 0
Real Sociedad B
24 Apr
Amorebieta
3 : 0
Baskonia
17 Apr
Baskonia
3 : 3
Retuerto Sport
11 Apr
Leioa
0 : 2
Baskonia
Page 1 of 6

Leioa

(Away)
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5
Leioa
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lagun Onak 38 21 10 7 51:25 73
2 Amurrio Club 38 21 10 7 63:27 73
3 Elgoibar 38 19 13 6 54:32 70
4 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 54:35 70
5 Beasain 38 20 10 8 68:38 70
6 Gernika Club 38 15 11 12 45:35 56
7 Baskonia 38 14 14 10 50:51 56
8 Laudio 38 11 17 10 39:43 50
9 Zamudio 38 11 16 11 42:38 49
10 Amorebieta 38 13 9 16 59:59 48
11 Leioa 38 12 11 15 38:45 47
12 Arenas Getxo 38 11 14 13 38:43 47
13 Zalla UC 38 12 10 16 35:53 46
14 Santurtzi 38 12 10 16 36:45 46
15 Eibar B 38 9 17 12 32:35 44
16 SCD Durango 38 11 10 17 44:50 43
17 Zarautz KE 38 10 12 16 45:51 42
18 Ordizia 38 10 10 18 35:61 40
19 Alaves B 38 7 11 20 31:53 32
20 San Ignacio 38 2 13 23 25:65 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)