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Baskonia vs Ordizia

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 game between Baskonia and Ordizia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baskonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Baskonia
35%
Draws
24%
Ordizia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Baskonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Baskonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Baskonia a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Baskonia Clean Sheet 19%
Ordizia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baskonia Ordizia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 12 12
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Ordizia
3:0
Oct 5, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Ordizia vs Baskonia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baskonia 85 / 100
Ordizia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baskonia Ordizia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baskonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordizia let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Baskonia found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Baskonia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ordizia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baskonia

(Home)
08 May
Eibar B
4 : 3
Baskonia
02 May
Baskonia
0 : 0
Real Sociedad B
24 Apr
Amorebieta
3 : 0
Baskonia
17 Apr
Baskonia
3 : 3
Retuerto Sport
11 Apr
Leioa
0 : 2
Baskonia
Page 1 of 6

Ordizia

(Away)
18 May
Ordizia
2 : 2
Sestao
11 May
Somorrostro
7 : 0
Ordizia
05 May
Ordizia
1 : 2
SD Deusto
27 Apr
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Ordizia
18 Apr
Ordizia
0 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lagun Onak 38 21 10 7 51:25 73
2 Amurrio Club 38 21 10 7 63:27 73
3 Elgoibar 38 19 13 6 54:32 70
4 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 54:35 70
5 Beasain 38 20 10 8 68:38 70
6 Gernika Club 38 15 11 12 45:35 56
7 Baskonia 38 14 14 10 50:51 56
8 Laudio 38 11 17 10 39:43 50
9 Zamudio 38 11 16 11 42:38 49
10 Amorebieta 38 13 9 16 59:59 48
11 Leioa 38 12 11 15 38:45 47
12 Arenas Getxo 38 11 14 13 38:43 47
13 Zalla UC 38 12 10 16 35:53 46
14 Santurtzi 38 12 10 16 36:45 46
15 Eibar B 38 9 17 12 32:35 44
16 SCD Durango 38 11 10 17 44:50 43
17 Zarautz KE 38 10 12 16 45:51 42
18 Ordizia 38 10 10 18 35:61 40
19 Alaves B 38 7 11 20 31:53 32
20 San Ignacio 38 2 13 23 25:65 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)