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Baskonia vs Santurtzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santurtzi in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santurtzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Baskonia
20%
Draws
30%
Santurtzi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baskonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Baskonia at 1.37 per game, Santurtzi at 1.
  • Baskonia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Baskonia Clean Sheet 20%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baskonia Santurtzi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Baskonia
4:0
Sep 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Santurtzi
0:0
Jan 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Santurtzi
0:1
Sep 7, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Baskonia
0:1
Apr 27, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Baskonia
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baskonia 49 / 100
Santurtzi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baskonia Santurtzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baskonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baskonia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Santurtzi let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Baskonia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santurtzi
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baskonia

(Home)
08 May
Eibar B
4 : 3
Baskonia
02 May
Baskonia
0 : 0
Real Sociedad B
24 Apr
Amorebieta
3 : 0
Baskonia
17 Apr
Baskonia
3 : 3
Retuerto Sport
11 Apr
Leioa
0 : 2
Baskonia
Page 1 of 6

Santurtzi

(Away)
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0
Santurtzi
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lagun Onak 38 21 10 7 51:25 73
2 Amurrio Club 38 21 10 7 63:27 73
3 Elgoibar 38 19 13 6 54:32 70
4 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 54:35 70
5 Beasain 38 20 10 8 68:38 70
6 Gernika Club 38 15 11 12 45:35 56
7 Baskonia 38 14 14 10 50:51 56
8 Laudio 38 11 17 10 39:43 50
9 Zamudio 38 11 16 11 42:38 49
10 Amorebieta 38 13 9 16 59:59 48
11 Leioa 38 12 11 15 38:45 47
12 Arenas Getxo 38 11 14 13 38:43 47
13 Zalla UC 38 12 10 16 35:53 46
14 Santurtzi 38 12 10 16 36:45 46
15 Eibar B 38 9 17 12 32:35 44
16 SCD Durango 38 11 10 17 44:50 43
17 Zarautz KE 38 10 12 16 45:51 42
18 Ordizia 38 10 10 18 35:61 40
19 Alaves B 38 7 11 20 31:53 32
20 San Ignacio 38 2 13 23 25:65 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)