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Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Rino Mercante, Bassano del Grappa
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Vranic A.

AI Match Summary

Calvi Noale in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calvi Noale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Bassano Virtus
35%
Draws
30%
Calvi Noale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Calvi Noale have won more games recently than Bassano Virtus.
  • Bassano Virtus are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bassano Virtus Calvi Noale
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 14 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Bassano Virtus
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Bassano Virtus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bassano Virtus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Calvi Noale Compare

Top Goalscorer Vranic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bassano Virtus 59 / 100
Calvi Noale 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bassano Virtus Calvi Noale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bassano Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bassano Virtus found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Calvi Noale conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bassano Virtus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bassano Virtus VS Calvi Noale
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bassano Virtus

(Home)
27 Sept
Bassano Virtus
2 : 0
Schio
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
06 Sept
Bassano Virtus
1 : 2
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
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Calvi Noale

(Away)
27 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)