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Bassano Virtus vs Cjarlins Muzane

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C Stadio Rino Mercante
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bassano Virtus play Cjarlins Muzane in the Serie D - Group C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bassano Virtus averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Cjarlins Muzane averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Bassano Virtus won 2, Cjarlins Muzane won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Bassano Virtus and 0.94 for Cjarlins Muzane. This points to a Bassano Virtus double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bassano Virtus
35%
Draws
27%
Cjarlins Muzane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bassano Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Bassano Virtus picked up more points recently compared to Cjarlins Muzane.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 24%
Cjarlins Muzane Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bassano Virtus Cjarlins Muzane
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 14 12
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Cjarlins Muzane
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Bassano Virtus
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Bassano Virtus
0:3
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Cjarlins Muzane
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Bassano Virtus
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bassano Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Cupani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cjarlins Muzane Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bassano Virtus 39 / 100
Cjarlins Muzane 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bassano Virtus Cjarlins Muzane

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bassano Virtus or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bassano Virtus attacking → ← attacking Cjarlins Muzane

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bassano Virtus scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Cjarlins Muzane let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Bassano Virtus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cjarlins Muzane lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 36
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111