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Bassano Virtus vs Mestre Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Rino Mercante, Bassano del Grappa
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bangal F.
40' Event
Fasolo G.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Fasolo G.

AI Match Summary

Bassano Virtus in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bassano Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bassano Virtus
35%
Draws
39%
Mestre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mestre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mestre have won more games recently than Bassano Virtus.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bassano Virtus taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 20%
Mestre Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bassano Virtus Mestre
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 14 11
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.7 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Mestre
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Mestre
4:1
Oct 18, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Bassano Virtus
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Bassano Virtus
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Mestre
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bassano Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Fasolo G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cupani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangal F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bassano Virtus 42 / 100
Mestre 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bassano Virtus Mestre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bassano Virtus found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Mestre conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Bassano Virtus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bassano Virtus VS Mestre
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bassano Virtus

(Home)
27 Sept
Bassano Virtus
2 : 0
Schio
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
06 Sept
Bassano Virtus
1 : 2
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
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Mestre

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)