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Bassano Virtus vs Vigasio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Rino Mercante, Bassano del Grappa
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Fasolo G.
80' Event
Pasha P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Bassano Virtus
15%
Draws
26%
Vigasio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bassano Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bassano Virtus have won more games recently than Vigasio.
  • Win probability leans Bassano Virtus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bassano Virtus Vigasio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 14 11
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Vigasio
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Bassano Virtus
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bassano Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Fasolo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vigasio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pasha P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bassano Virtus 95 / 100
Vigasio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bassano Virtus Vigasio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bassano Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bassano Virtus scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Vigasio has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bassano Virtus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vigasio lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bassano Virtus VS Vigasio
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bassano Virtus

(Home)
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
19 Apr
Bassano Virtus
1 : 0
Cjarlins Muzane
12 Apr
Campodarsego
1 : 0
Bassano Virtus
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

Vigasio

(Away)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4
Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1
Vigasio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)