Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Kore Y.
Assist: Louis C.
18'
18'
Chabane A.
23'
23'
Tomi F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bastia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Amiens SC average 1.32 goals a game right now, well clear of Bastia's 0.96.
- Amiens SC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bastia Clean Sheet 22%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bastia | Amiens SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 3
Bastia vs Amiens SC
0:3
Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Amiens SC
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Bastia
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Bastia vs Amiens SC
4:2
Jan 17, 2025 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Bastia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bastia Compare
Top Goalscorer Tomi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Amiens SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Kore Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bastia 29 / 100
Amiens SC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bastia Amiens SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Amiens SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bastia scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Amiens SC let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Bastia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bastia VS Amiens SC
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bastia
(Home) 12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1 Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3 Amiens SC
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1 Bastia
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3 Versailles
14 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 1 Bastia
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3 Amiens SC
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3 Versailles
07 Aug
Bastia
0 : 2 Le Puy-en-Velay
31 Jul
Bastia
2 : 2 Annecy
09 May
Bastia
0 : 2 Le Mans
Page 1 of 3
Amiens SC
(Away) 10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0 Amiens SC
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3 Amiens SC
29 Aug
Amiens SC
3 : 0 Versailles
20 Aug
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0 Amiens SC
14 Aug
Amiens SC
0 : 1 La Roche Vendee
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0 Amiens SC
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3 Amiens SC
20 Aug
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0 Amiens SC
07 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 0 Amiens SC
25 Jul
Kortrijk
1 : 1 Amiens SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Troyes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 62 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 60 |
| 4 | Red Star | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Rodez | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 58 |
| 6 | Reims | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 56 |
| 7 | Annecy | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 9 | Pau | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | 39 |
| 13 | Clermont | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | 37 |
| 14 | Nancy | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | 36 |
| 16 | Laval | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | 32 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens SC | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | 24 |
| 19 | AC Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)
