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Bastia vs Amiens SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Boissier R.
Assist: Mbondi C.
19'
Llort L.
41'
De Percin T.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Bastia and Amiens SC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amiens SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bastia
35%
Draws
39%
Amiens SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Amiens SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amiens SC come out ahead of Bastia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Amiens SC a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Bastia Clean Sheet 21%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Amiens SC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 13 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 3
Bastia vs Amiens SC
0:3
Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Amiens SC
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Bastia
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Bastia vs Amiens SC
4:2
Jan 17, 2025 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Bastia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bastia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Amiens SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Boissier R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia 10 / 100
Amiens SC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Amiens SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amiens SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bastia scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Amiens SC conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bastia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bastia VS Amiens SC
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia

(Home)
17 Oct
Concarneau
1 : 1
Bastia
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
Page 1 of 6

Amiens SC

(Away)
17 Oct
Valenciennes
1 : 1
Amiens SC
03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Villefranche
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Rouen 10 6 2 2 18:8 20
3 Versailles 10 6 1 3 15:13 19
4 Caen 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
5 Concarneau 10 4 5 1 13:9 17
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 10 5 1 4 12:9 16
7 Amiens SC 10 4 4 2 13:4 16
8 Cannes 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
9 Fleury 91 10 4 3 3 16:12 15
10 Paris 13 Atletico 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
11 Quevilly 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
12 Thionville 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Bastia 10 3 3 4 8:12 12
14 Valenciennes 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
15 Orleans 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
16 Aubagne FC 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
17 Villefranche 10 2 1 7 9:23 7
18 Bourg Peronnas 10 1 2 7 5:16 5
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)