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Stadium Background

Bastia vs Saint-Omer Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Coupe de France 2018/2019 Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia
Sat, Dec 15, 2018
3 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

93' Event
Schur K.
102' Event
Santelli B.
111' Event
Mesbah N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Bastia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bastia
20%
Draws
44%
Saint-Omer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saint-Omer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint-Omer come out ahead of Bastia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bastia's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Saint-Omer arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bastia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bastia Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Omer Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Saint-Omer
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 12 0
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2018 Coupe de France
Bastia vs Saint-Omer
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bastia Compare

Top Goalscorer Schur K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santelli B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Saint-Omer Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia 36 / 100
Saint-Omer 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Saint-Omer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Bastia's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Saint-Omer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Bastia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bastia VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia

(Home)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 7

Saint-Omer

(Away)
17 Nov
Saint-Omer
1 : 2
US Noyelles S/Lens
06 Jan
Saint-Omer
2 : 3
Dunkerque
09 Dec
Saint-Omer
2 : 1
Epinal
18 Nov
Saint-Omer
2 : 1
Saint Denis U.S.
14 Feb
Saint-Omer
0 : 1
GFC Ajaccio
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charitoise 2
Carrieres Gresillons 1
FCA Troyes 1
Bourges 2
Valenciennes 3
Dunkerque 1
Vieux-Habitants 0
Thaon 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Nancy 1
Annecy 0
Heillecourt 0
St. Louis Neuweg 3
Entente Crest-Aouste 2
Montelimar 0
De Volvic 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Stade Pontivyen 2
Vignoc Hede Guipel 0
Chapelle 0
Avranches 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
Bastia 2
Le Mans 1
Marck 0
Saint-Omer 1
Saint-Malo 1
Lorient 0
Etoile Matoury 2
Concarneau 3
GFC Ajaccio 1
Auch 0
Olympique de Valence 0
Beaucairois 3
Lege Capferret 6
Tartas St. Yaguen 4
Riom 0
Noisy-le-Grand 1
Viry-Chatillon 1
Montlucon 0
Auxerre 0
Angouleme CFC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Red Star 3
Avenir Lozere 2
Epernay 1
Avion 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caen -
Orleans 2
Caennaise 0
Morteau Montlebon 0
Paray 1
Sainte-Genevieve 4
Sainte-Suzanne 0
Stade Poitevin 0
Aiglon Lamentin 1
Niort 2
Chauray 0
Chatellerault 0
Challans 2
Vertou 2
Bellevue Nantes 0
La Brede 0
Bergerac 8
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Toulon 0
Beziers 1
Canet Roussillon 2
St Quentin 5
Wasquehal 3
Saint-Amand 0
Prix les Mezieres 2
CMS Oissel 5
Bourny Laval 1
Sarreguemines 1
Metz 2
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Illkirch 3
Saint Avold 0
Haguenau 3
Sochaux 4
Limonest 4
Feillens 0
Vimy 0
Creteil 2
Rodez 5
Luzenac 2
St Orens 1
Sete 2
Saint-Pryve 1
US Matoury 0
Compiegne 0
Troyes 2
La Chapelle 3
Escaudoeuvres 1
Biars-Bretenoux 2
Aurillac 3
Brest 4
Vilaine Atlantique 1
Football Avenir de Theix 0
Vannes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grand Quevilly 4
Cherbourg 1
Plouvorn 0
Pontivy 1
Grenoble 3
Beaune 0
Chassieu Decines 1
Hyeres 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Les Herbiers 2
Chauvigny 0
Cholet 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Besancon FC 1
Jeanne d'Arc 0
Chataigneraie 1
Tours 2
Gravelines 3
ASC Hazebrouck 1
Chambly 0
Neslois 1
Chamalieres 2
Melun 0
Limoges 0
Villefranche 1
IC Croix 1
Paris FC 0
Olympique Marcquois 0
Boulogne 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 1
JA Drancy 0
Bourg Peronnas 0
Raon L Etape 1
Clermont 3
Gueugnon 1
Magenta 0
FC Bobigny 93 1
Ales 2
AC Ajaccio 0
Salinieres 0
Marignane GCB 1
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Epinal 4
Golden Lion 2
Reipertswiller 1
Olympique Strasbourg 4
Schiltigheim 1
Avize-Grauves 0
Rossfeld 0
Biesheim 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Vitre 1
Saint Lo Manche 0
Guipavas 0
Montagnarde 1
Lannion FC 3
Stella Maris Douarnenez 0
Blois Foot 41 1
Longueau 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Villers Houlgate 2
Mondeville 0
Gamaches 1
Le Havre 7
Andrezieux 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Val Lyonnais 1
Annecy-le-Vieux 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Nimes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cote Bleue 3
Sainte-Rose 1
Montceau 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Lens 2
Football Club Nogent 0
AS Dragon 0
Versailles 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Sannois 4
Mtsapere 0
Borgo 2
Sedan 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Chateauroux 3
Fontenay 2
Genets 1
Pau 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
1/64-finals
Lyon -
TBD -
Charitoise 1
Bourges 2
Valenciennes 6
Thaon 3
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Nancy 2
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Entente Crest-Aouste 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Stade Pontivyen 1
Avranches 0
TBD -
Guingamp -
Bastia 3
Saint-Omer 1
Saint-Malo 0
Concarneau 2
GFC Ajaccio 2
Beaucairois 0
Lege Capferret 1
Noisy-le-Grand 2
Viry-Chatillon 4
Angouleme CFC 2
TBD -
Angers -
Red Star 1
Avion 0
TBD -
Caen -
Orleans 4
Paray 0
Sainte-Genevieve 2
Aiglon Lamentin 3
Niort 1
Challans 0
Vertou 1
Bergerac 3
Monaco -
TBD -
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Canet Roussillon 4
St Quentin 4
Prix les Mezieres 3
CMS Oissel 0
Metz 1
Lille -
TBD -
Illkirch 0
Sochaux 1
Limonest 2
Creteil 1
Rodez 0
Sete 2
Saint-Pryve 3
Troyes 2
La Chapelle 0
Aurillac 1
Brest 3
Vannes 2
TBD -
Rennes -
PSG -
TBD -
Grand Quevilly 1
Pontivy 2
Grenoble 2
Hyeres 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Les Herbiers 6
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Besancon FC 1
Tours 2
Gravelines 1
Neslois 0
Chamalieres 0
Villefranche 1
IC Croix 3
Boulogne 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 2
Raon L Etape 3
Clermont 2
FC Bobigny 93 1
Ales 0
Marignane GCB 2
St Etienne -
TBD -
Epinal 0
Olympique Strasbourg 1
Schiltigheim 2
Biesheim 1
TBD -
Dijon -
Vitre 2
Montagnarde 0
Lannion FC 1
Longueau 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Villers Houlgate 1
Le Havre 5
Andrezieux 3
Annecy-le-Vieux 1
TBD -
Marseille -
Nimes -
TBD -
Cote Bleue 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Lens 4
Versailles 2
TBD -
Reims -
Sannois 1
Sedan 0
TBD -
Montpellier -
Chateauroux 4
Pau 0
TBD -
Nantes -
1/32-finals
Lyon 2
Bourges 0
Valenciennes 0
Amiens SC 1
Nancy 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Stade Pontivyen 2
Guingamp 4
Bastia 3
Concarneau 2
GFC Ajaccio 1
Noisy-le-Grand 2
Viry-Chatillon 1
Angers 0
Red Star 0
Caen 1
Orleans 3
Aiglon Lamentin 2
Niort 1
Bergerac 2
Monaco 1
Canet Roussillon 0
St Quentin 1
Metz 2
Lille 1
Sochaux 0
Limonest 0
Sete 1
Saint-Pryve 3
Aurillac 1
Brest 2
Rennes 3
PSG 4
Pontivy 0
Grenoble 0
Strasbourg 1
Les Herbiers 2
Tours 1
Gravelines 0
Villefranche 3
IC Croix 2
Raon L Etape 0
Clermont 1
Marignane GCB 2
St Etienne 6
Olympique Strasbourg 0
Schiltigheim 1
Dijon 3
Vitre 1
Longueau 0
Bordeaux 0
Le Havre 1
Andrezieux 2
Marseille 0
Nimes 0
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Toulouse 4
Nice 1
Lens 0
Reims 2
Sannois 1
Montpellier 0
Chateauroux 1
Nantes 4
1/16-finals
Lyon 2
Amiens SC 0
Nancy 1
Guingamp 2
Bastia 2
Noisy-le-Grand 1
Viry-Chatillon 0
Caen 6
Orleans 3
Bergerac 2
Monaco 1
Metz 3
Lille 1
Sete 0
Saint-Pryve 0
Rennes 2
PSG 2
Strasbourg 0
Les Herbiers 0
Villefranche 2
IC Croix 1
Marignane GCB 0
St Etienne 3
Dijon 6
Vitre 3
Le Havre 0
Andrezieux 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse 5
Reims 4
Sannois 0
Nantes 1
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Guingamp 1
Bastia 2
Caen 3
Orleans 1
Metz 0
Lille 1
Rennes 2
PSG 3
Villefranche 0
IC Croix 0
Dijon 3
Vitre 3
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse 0
Nantes 2
Quarter-finals
Lyon 3
Caen 1
Orleans 0
Rennes 2
PSG 3
Dijon 0
Vitre 0
Nantes 2
Semi-finals
Lyon 2
Rennes 3
PSG 3
Nantes 0
Final
Rennes 3
PSG 2