Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bastia vs Troyes

France France

Coupe de France Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia
Bastia Logo

Bastia

0 - 2
FT
Troyes Logo

Troyes

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Guevara J.
30' Event
Ripart R.
Assist: Adeline M.
42'
Janneh J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Bastia
35%
Draws
45%
Troyes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Troyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Troyes a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Troyes arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Troyes, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bastia Clean Sheet 10%
Troyes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Troyes
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 17
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.9 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Troyes
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Coupe de France
Bastia vs Troyes
0:2
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Bastia
1:0
Feb 28, 2025 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Bastia
2:0
Sep 13, 2024 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Troyes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bastia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripart R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bentayeb T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia 10 / 100
Troyes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Troyes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troyes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troyes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Bastia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bastia's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bastia VS Troyes
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia

(Home)
14 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 1
Bastia
07 Aug
Bastia
0 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
31 Jul
Bastia
2 : 2
Annecy
24 Jul
Aubagne FC
1 : 1
Bastia
10 Jul
Rodez
5 : 3
Bastia
Page 1 of 6

Troyes

(Away)
14 Aug
Troyes
1 : 1
Panetolikos
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1
Troyes
31 Jul
Troyes
5 : 2
GOAL FC
25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3
Troyes
18 Jul
Troyes
1 : 0
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Saint-Brice Courcelles 1
FC Bogny 2
Camon 0
St. Maur Lusitanos 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
Thonon-Evian 0
FC Rhone Vallees 2
RC Grasse 1
Seyssinet 1
Aubagne FC 0
SS Allinges 1
Istres 2
SA Merignac 1
Colomiers 0
Trelissac 0
Pau 2
Stade Quimperlois 0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 9
St. Colomban Locmine 1
Guingamp 2
Le Cellier Mauves 0
Laval 6
Saint-Pauloise FC 1
Dominicaine 0
Espoir 1
Eveil 0
Challans 0
Pontivy 2
Sable 0
Saint-Malo 1
US Chateau-Malo 0
Bastia 6
Olympique Marcquois 5
Aire-sur-la-Lys 0
Longuenesse 0
FC Bondues 2
Touraine 2
Epernay 1
Aizenay 0
Troyes 3
Villars-l'Isle 1
Sarre Union 2
Pontarlier 2
Sochaux 3
Steenvoorde 2
Chambly 1
Loon Plage 1
Bethune 2
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
APM Metz 3
Fleury-Merogis 2
Cambrai 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 4
Yvetot 2
ASPTT Caen 1
Bayeux 3
Caen 2
Le Poinconnet 0
Romorantin 2
Blois Foot 41 2
Clermont 1
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mauguio Carnon 0
Selongey 1
Atlas Paillade 0
Bourg Peronnas 2
Cormontreuil 5
Porto Portugais 2
Us Premontre Saint Gobain 0
Chantilly 3
Wittenheim 2
Freyming 3
Besancon RC 4
Thionville 0
Pen Hir 1
Les Sables 2
Plouvorn 2
Vitre 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Pledran 0
Plabennec 2
Orvault 1
Les Herbiers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Pierrelatte 0
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Carnoux F.C. 5
Pirae 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montreuil 1
Bandrele 0
Granville 3
Dinan 1
Gouzon Avenir 1
Chauvigny 5
Lapalisse 1
Stade Poitevin 2
Le Havre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 2
GFC Ajaccio 1
Auby 0
Amiens SC 3
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avranches 1
Paris 13 Atletico 0
SA Beaumont 4
Aubervilliers 7
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ES Cappelle 2
Abbeville 3
Boulogne 2
Dunkerque 3
Saint-Jean 1
Angouleme CFC 0
Orleans 3
Bayonne 0
JA Drancy 0
Beauvais 1
Saint-Amand 0
Dieppe 3
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Montreal-la-Cluse 0
FC Chalon 3
ASPTT Dijon 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
FC 2 Rives 82 0
Mazeres 1
EBBE 0
Bordeaux 1
IC Croix 3
Racing Club de France 2
Etoile Matoury 1
Le Geldar 2
Avion 0
Torcy 2
OCPAM 0
Reims 1
Etoile Bobigny 1
Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2
Ivry 1
Le Mans 2
Saint-Meziery 1
Perigny 2
UES Montmorillon 0
Beaucouze 1
Cannes 1
Annecy 2
Olympique de Villefontaine 0
Grenoble 3
Sarreguemines 5
Furiani Agliani 3
GSA Tomblaine 0
Nancy 5
Seignosse Capbreton 2
Football Club Marmande 47 3
Bassin d'Arcachon 4
Blagnac 1
Andrezieux 1
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Savigneux Montbrison 3
Feurs 5
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moulien 2
AS Le Gosier 3
CMS Oissel 3
Quevilly 2
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fontenay 1
Chamalieres 0
Biars-Bretenoux 0
Chateauroux 2
Paris FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mutzig 0
Raon L Etape 3
Magenta 0
Mulhouse 3
Les Bleuets 0
Concarneau 3
St. Renan 0
Stade Briochin 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nord Lozere 4
Ecotay Moingt 5
Quetigny 1
St Etienne 3
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 2
Biesheim 3
Forbach 0
Red Star 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Auch 1
Canet Roussillon 4
Lavaur 1
Rodez 3
Montceau 2
L'Etrat La Tour 1
Agde 0
Montpellier 2
1/64-finals
FC Bogny 0
St. Maur Lusitanos 3
TBD -
Lille -
Lyon -
TBD -
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
FC Rhone Vallees 0
Seyssinet 0
Istres 2
SA Merignac 1
Pau 0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 0
Guingamp 4
Laval 6
Saint-Pauloise FC 0
Espoir 0
Pontivy 4
Saint-Malo 0
Bastia 1
Olympique Marcquois 2
FC Bondues 0
Touraine 0
Troyes 2
Sarre Union 0
Sochaux 6
Steenvoorde 0
Bethune 1
Lens -
TBD -
APM Metz 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 2
Yvetot 0
Bayeux 1
Romorantin 2
Blois Foot 41 3
Marseille -
TBD -
Selongey 2
Bourg Peronnas 3
Cormontreuil 1
Chantilly 2
Freyming 1
Besancon RC 0
Les Sables 2
Plouvorn 1
TBD -
Rennes -
Plabennec 1
Les Herbiers 2
TBD -
Angers -
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Carnoux F.C. 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montreuil 2
Granville 1
Chauvigny 4
Stade Poitevin 3
Le Havre -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 0
Amiens SC 4
Brest -
TBD -
Avranches 2
Aubervilliers 1
Strasbourg -
TBD -
Abbeville 0
Dunkerque 5
Saint-Jean 1
Orleans 2
Beauvais 1
Dieppe 2
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
FC Chalon 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Mazeres 3
Bordeaux 4
IC Croix 2
Le Geldar 1
Torcy 1
Reims 5
Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2
Le Mans 3
Perigny 3
Beaucouze 1
Annecy 1
Grenoble 2
Sarreguemines 3
Nancy 4
Football Club Marmande 47 0
Bassin d'Arcachon 1
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Feurs 1
Lorient -
TBD -
AS Le Gosier 3
CMS Oissel 2
PSG -
TBD -
Fontenay 4
Chateauroux 1
Paris FC -
TBD -
Raon L Etape 3
Mulhouse 2
Concarneau 1
Stade Briochin 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Nice -
TBD -
Ecotay Moingt 1
St Etienne 11
Biesheim 2
Red Star 1
TBD -
Metz -
Canet Roussillon 1
Rodez 0
Montceau 0
Montpellier 2
1/32-finals
St. Maur Lusitanos 0
Lille 1
Lyon 3
Saint-Cyr Collonges 0
Istres 1
SA Merignac 0
Guingamp 0
Laval 1
Pontivy 0
Bastia 1
Olympique Marcquois 1
Troyes 3
Sochaux 4
Bethune 2
Lens 3
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Bayeux 2
Blois Foot 41 1
Marseille 6
Bourg Peronnas 0
Chantilly 3
Freyming 0
Les Sables 0
Rennes 3
Les Herbiers 0
Angers 1
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Toulouse 2
Montreuil 2
Chauvigny 1
Le Havre 0
Amiens SC 2
Brest 1
Avranches 2
Strasbourg 2
Dunkerque 1
Orleans 3
Dieppe 0
Auxerre 1
Monaco 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Bordeaux 0
IC Croix 0
Reims 4
Le Mans 2
Perigny 1
Grenoble 1
Nancy 2
Bassin d'Arcachon 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Lorient 7
AS Le Gosier 0
PSG 4
Fontenay 0
Paris FC 3
Raon L Etape 0
Concarneau 3
Nantes 5
Nice 2
St Etienne 1
Biesheim 0
Metz 3
Canet Roussillon 0
Montpellier 1
1/16-finals
Lille 1
Lyon 2
Istres 0
Laval 2
Bastia 0
Troyes 2
Sochaux 0
Lens 3
Bayeux 0
Marseille 9
Chantilly 1
Rennes 3
Angers 1
Toulouse 2
Montreuil 2
Amiens SC 4
Avranches 0
Strasbourg 6
Orleans 1
Monaco 3
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Reims 1
Le Mans 1
Nancy 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Lorient 3
PSG 0
Paris FC 1
Nantes 1
Nice 2
Metz 0
Montpellier 4
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Laval 0
Troyes 2
Lens 4
Marseille 3
Rennes 0
Toulouse 1
Amiens SC 0
Strasbourg 3
Monaco 1
Reims 3
Le Mans 0
Lorient 2
Paris FC 0
Nice 3
Montpellier 2
Quarter-finals
Lyon 2
Lens 3
Marseille 2
Toulouse 3
Strasbourg 2
Reims 1
Lorient 0
Nice 1
Semi-finals
Lens 4
Toulouse 1
Strasbourg 0
Nice 2
Final
Lens 3
Nice 1