Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Houston Dash W vs Chicago Stars W

USA USA

NWSL Women Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Rader K.
Assist: Patterson A.
42' Event
Rader K.
Assist: Larisey C.
45'
Staab S.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Houston Dash W and Chicago Stars W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Houston Dash W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Houston Dash W
20%
Draws
16%
Chicago Stars W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Houston Dash W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Houston Dash W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Houston Dash W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 20%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dash W Chicago Stars W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.17 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Chicago Stars W
5:0
Sep 20, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Chicago Stars W
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W
1:2
Oct 5, 2024 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Chicago Stars W
0:2
Jul 6, 2024 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dash W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rader K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ullmark L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Chicago Stars W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dash W 85 / 100
Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dash W Chicago Stars W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Houston Dash W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Stars W let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Houston Dash W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Chicago Stars W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dash W VS Chicago Stars W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dash W

(Home)
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1
Utah Royals W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
30 Aug
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0
Houston Dash W
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Chicago Stars W

(Away)
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
30 Aug
Denver Summit W
6 : 1
Chicago Stars W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 26 16 6 4 34:20 54
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
7 Angel City W 26 12 6 8 44:28 42
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 26 9 8 9 42:37 35
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 26 8 6 12 32:36 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 26 5 2 19 15:60 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)