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Bastion Illichivsk vs FC Ros Bila Tserkva

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2009/2010 game between Bastion Illichivsk and FC Ros Bila Tserkva finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bastion Illichivsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bastion Illichivsk
6%
Draws
4%
FC Ros Bila Tserkva
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bastion Illichivsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bastion Illichivsk come out ahead of FC Ros Bila Tserkva on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bastion Illichivsk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bastion Illichivsk have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bastion Illichivsk Clean Sheet 19%
FC Ros Bila Tserkva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastion Illichivsk FC Ros Bila Tserkva
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2011 Druha Liga
FC Ros Bila Tserkva vs Bastion Illichivsk
2:3
Sep 11, 2010 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs FC Ros Bila Tserkva
4:0
Oct 18, 2009 Druha Liga
FC Ros Bila Tserkva vs Bastion Illichivsk
0:0
Jul 29, 2009 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs FC Ros Bila Tserkva
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastion Illichivsk 85 / 100
FC Ros Bila Tserkva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastion Illichivsk FC Ros Bila Tserkva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Ros Bila Tserkva conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Bastion Illichivsk found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bastion Illichivsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bastion Illichivsk VS FC Ros Bila Tserkva
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastion Illichivsk

(Home)
25 Jul
Hvardiyets Hvardiyske
:
Bastion Illichivsk
04 Jun
Bastion Illichivsk
1 : 1
Desna
28 May
Yednist
1 : 2
Bastion Illichivsk
21 May
Bastion Illichivsk
:
Veres Rivne
14 May
FC Ros Bila Tserkva
2 : 3
Bastion Illichivsk
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FC Ros Bila Tserkva

(Away)
04 Jun
Sumy
4 : 1
FC Ros Bila Tserkva
28 May
FC Ros Bila Tserkva
0 : 2
MFK Mykolaiv
23 May
Ch. Odesa 2
1 : 0
FC Ros Bila Tserkva
14 May
FC Ros Bila Tserkva
2 : 3
Bastion Illichivsk
07 May
Nyva Ternopil
2 : 2
FC Ros Bila Tserkva
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna20153235:1248
2Nyva Vinnytsya20124443:1640
3Bastion Illichivsk20117244:2040
4MFK Mykolaiv20116330:1339
5FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi20103728:1633
6Yednist2085722:2129
7FC Ros Bila Tserkva20631118:3021
8Lviv 22047913:2519
9Veres Rivne20441216:4116
10Karpaty Lviv 220511417:4316
11Skala Stryj20131611:406
Promotion - Persha Liga 2010/2011 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Titan A.26213250:2066
2Kremin26159241:2154
3SC Poltava26166434:1654
4Stal Kamianske26156538:2351
5Olimpik Donetsk26154745:2849
6Shakhter Sverdlovsk26137626:1546
7Shakhtar 3261061033:2936
8Sumy261061032:3436
9Kryvbas Krivoy Rog26841429:4328
10Olkom Melitopol26751431:4226
11Hirnyk-Sport26571421:3522
12FC Mariupol II26431916:4015
13FC Dnipro 7526451719:2114
14SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 226312218:6610
Promotion - Persha Liga 2010/2011 (Main)