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Bataguassu vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bataguassu
40%
Draws
29%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bataguassu have won more games recently than Clube de Regatas Aquidauana.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 12%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bataguassu Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Matches Played 25 19
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Bataguassu
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Bataguassu vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bataguassu 30 / 100
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bataguassu Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bataguassu scored in 92% of their last 25 outings.

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bataguassu remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bataguassu VS Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naviraiense953113:918
2Operario MS945014:517
3Corumbaense934210:713
4Ivinhema933310:1112
5Bataguassu933315:1712
6Dourados924315:1410
7Clube de Regatas Aquidauana924312:1310
8Pantanal923410:159
9Costa Rica91536:108
10Aguia Negra91449:137