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Bataguassu vs Costa Rica

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bataguassu in this Sul-Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bataguassu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Bataguassu
17%
Draws
13%
Costa Rica
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bataguassu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Bataguassu have won more games recently than Costa Rica.
  • Bataguassu are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 17%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bataguassu Costa Rica
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Costa Rica
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bataguassu 66 / 100
Costa Rica 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bataguassu Costa Rica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bataguassu found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (25 games).

Costa Rica let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Bataguassu has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bataguassu VS Costa Rica
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naviraiense953113:918
2Operario MS945014:517
3Corumbaense934210:713
4Ivinhema933310:1112
5Bataguassu933315:1712
6Dourados924315:1410
7Clube de Regatas Aquidauana924312:1310
8Pantanal923410:159
9Costa Rica91536:108
10Aguia Negra91449:137