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Batel vs Arapongas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gomes J.
35' Event
Dhiordan
45' Event
Bryam

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Batel
35%
Draws
30%
Arapongas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Batel have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Arapongas are scoring more at 1.73.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Batel taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Batel Clean Sheet 19%
Arapongas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Batel Arapongas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 Paranaense 3
Arapongas vs Batel
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Paranaense 3
Batel vs Arapongas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Batel Compare

Top Goalscorer Dhiordan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcus Uberaba
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Arapongas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bryam
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Batel 40 / 100
Arapongas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Batel Arapongas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Batel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Batel's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arapongas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Batel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Batel VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Batel

(Home)
25 Apr
Batel
0 : 1
Araucaria
18 Apr
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Batel
11 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 0
Batel
05 Apr
Batel
4 : 1
Toledo
29 Mar
Batel
1 : 1
Parana
Page 1 of 6

Arapongas

(Away)
09 Nov
Arapongas
1 : 2
Batel
02 Nov
Batel
2 : 2
Arapongas
26 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 2
Iraty
20 Oct
Iraty
0 : 3
Arapongas
13 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Batel 6
Rolandia EC 0
Iraty 2
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 3
Vere FC 1
Oeste Brasil 0
Toledo 3
Semi-finals
Batel 4
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 1
Toledo 8
Final
Batel 2
Toledo 1