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Batel vs Toledo

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Batel Logo

Batel

4 - 1
FT
Toledo Logo

Toledo

Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Rodrigo Paganelli
45' Event
Joao Cabral
48' Event
Diego
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Batel in this Paranaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Batel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Batel
35%
Draws
26%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Batel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Batel lately — more wins on the board than Toledo.
  • Win probability leans Batel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Batel Clean Sheet 20%
Toledo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Batel Toledo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.45 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Paranaense 2
Batel vs Toledo
4:1
May 17, 2025 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs Batel
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Paranaense 3
Toledo vs Batel
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Paranaense 3
Batel vs Toledo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Batel Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Cabral
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diego
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Agnael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Batel 85 / 100
Toledo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Batel Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Batel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Batel's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Toledo let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Batel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Batel VS Toledo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Batel

(Home)
25 Apr
Batel
0 : 1
Araucaria
18 Apr
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Batel
11 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 0
Batel
05 Apr
Batel
4 : 1
Toledo
29 Mar
Batel
1 : 1
Parana
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Toledo

(Away)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)