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Bath City vs Coalville Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024 Twerton Park, Bath
Sat, Jan 13, 2024
0 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Cooke C.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Doyle-Charles J.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Wilson S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Coalville Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Bath City
15%
Draws
7%
Coalville Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bath City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Coalville Town have managed 1 goals a game lately — Bath City are scoring more at 1.24.
  • Model gives Bath City a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Coalville Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bath City Clean Sheet 15%
Coalville Town Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bath City Coalville Town
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2024 FA Trophy
Bath City vs Coalville Town
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bath City 84 / 100
Coalville Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bath City Coalville Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bath City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bath City's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Coalville Town let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Bath City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Coalville Town has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bath City VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bath City

(Home)
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1
Malvern Town
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3
Bath City
22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3
Bath City
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
05 Sept
Bath City
0 : 2
Weymouth
Page 1 of 6

Coalville Town

(Away)
15 Jul
Coalville Town
1 : 2
Coventry Sphinx
13 Jul
Coalville Town
0 : 3
Nuneaton
27 Apr
Coalville Town
1 : 4
Telford
20 Apr
Kettering
1 : 0
Coalville Town
16 Apr
Coalville Town
0 : 0
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hereford -
TBD -
Haringey Borough 1
Redbridge 2
Bognor Regis 3
Gosport Borough 0
South Park 2
Leighton Town 1
Frome Town 1
Cribbs 0
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers 4
Chesham 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Poole Town 2
Bracknell Town 3
Larkhall 1
Horsham FC 2
AFC Totton 2
Merthyr Town 1
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters 0
Leiston 1
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge 5
Bamber Bridge 1
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 1
Stamford 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham 0
Cray Valley 2
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
North Ferriby FC 0
Matlock 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
Macclesfield 4
Halesowen 1
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Bath City -
TBD -
Harrow Borough 1
Beaconsfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Walsall Wood 2
Guiseley 1
Alvechurch 0
Coalville Town 1
TBD -
Boston United -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Basingstoke 3
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Aveley -
TBD -
St Ives Town 3
Marine 1
Westfield 1
Hungerford 3
TBD -
Truro -
Banbury -
TBD -
Nuneaton 2
Hyde 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Stafford 5
Quorn 3
TBD -
Brackley -
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Farsley -
TBD -
United of Manchester 2
Radcliffe 3
Redditch 3
Ashton United 0
TBD -
Rushall -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 1
Avro 0
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay 5
Bury Town 0
TBD -
Tamworth -
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Worksop 0
Mickleover 5
Hendon 2
Walton & Hersham 1
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Hythe 3
Ramsgate 1
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Kingstonian 0
Whitehawk 4
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Lewes 2
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Nantwich 1
Stratford 0
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
1/64-finals
Hereford 4
Redbridge 1
Bognor Regis 1
South Park 4
Frome Town 3
Worthing FC 2
Torquay 2
Yeovil 1
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Weston-super-Mare 4
Cray Wanderers 1
TBD -
Woking -
Bracknell Town 0
Horsham FC 3
AFC Totton 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Leiston 1
Peterborough Sports 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Stourbridge 2
King’s Lynn 1
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton 1
City Of Liverpool 3
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Southend -
TBD -
Cray Valley 1
Hampton & Richmond 5
Curzon Ashton 2
Matlock 0
Alfreton 2
Macclesfield 4
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Stortford 3
St. Albans 1
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Bath City 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hemel Hempstead 1
Walsall Wood 2
Coalville Town 2
Boston United 1
Bromley -
TBD -
Slough Town 2
Farnborough 1
Chippenham Town 2
Basingstoke 1
Gloucester City 3
Braintree 0
Aveley 2
St Ives Town 1
Hungerford 2
Truro 0
Banbury 2
Nuneaton 4
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Welling 3
Taunton Town 2
Stafford 0
Brackley 1
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Southport 4
South Shields 0
Farsley 2
Radcliffe 4
Redditch 2
Rushall 1
Barnet -
TBD -
Dartford 0
Maidstone 1
Oxford City -
TBD -
Harborough 0
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Billericay 3
Tamworth 1
Oldham -
TBD -
Spennymoor 1
Mickleover 3
Hendon 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Dover Ath. 4
Weymouth 5
Hythe 1
Tonbridge 0
Whitehawk 3
Lewes 1
Chorley 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Warrington Town 1
Blyth Spartans 3
Scunthorpe 2
Darlington FC 0
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Nantwich 1
Chester 0
TBD -
York City -
1/32-finals
Hereford 1
South Park 0
Frome Town 1
Torquay 4
Rochdale 1
Gateshead 5
Weston-super-Mare 3
Woking 2
Horsham FC 2
AFC Totton 0
Dagenham & Red. 1
Peterborough Sports 2
Kidderminster 4
Stourbridge 1
Halifax 0
Altrincham 1
City Of Liverpool 1
Hartlepool 5
Southend 2
Hampton & Richmond 3
Curzon Ashton 0
Macclesfield 2
Dorking Wanderers 3
Maidenhead 0
Ebbsfleet 1
Stortford 2
Eastleigh 2
Aldershot 3
Bath City 1
Boreham Wood 0
Walsall Wood 0
Coalville Town 2
Bromley 1
Slough Town 0
Chippenham Town 5
Gloucester City 3
Aveley 2
Hungerford 1
Nuneaton 2
AFC Fylde 3
Welling 2
Brackley 1
Chesterfield 6
Southport 1
Radcliffe 4
Redditch 0
Barnet 4
Maidstone 0
Oxford City 0
Chelmsford 1
Wealdstone 4
Billericay 1
Oldham 4
Mickleover 3
Hendon 2
Weymouth 0
Hythe 3
Whitehawk 2
Chorley 2
Blyth Spartans 0
Scunthorpe 0
Solihull Moors 2
Nantwich 3
York City 2
1/16-finals
Hereford 2
Torquay 0
Gateshead 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Horsham FC 0
Peterborough Sports 3
Kidderminster 1
Altrincham 0
Hartlepool 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Macclesfield 5
Dorking Wanderers 0
Stortford 6
Aldershot 1
Bath City 0
Coalville Town 1
Bromley 2
Chippenham Town 1
Aveley 1
AFC Fylde 0
Welling 2
Chesterfield 0
Radcliffe 1
Barnet 2
Chelmsford 0
Wealdstone 1
Oldham 1
Hendon 2
Hythe 1
Chorley 2
Solihull Moors 5
Nantwich 1
1/8-finals
Hereford 0
Gateshead 1
Peterborough Sports 1
Kidderminster 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Macclesfield 2
Stortford 0
Coalville Town 3
Bromley 2
Aveley 0
Welling 0
Barnet 3
Wealdstone 4
Hendon 0
Chorley 1
Solihull Moors 3
Quarter-finals
Gateshead 3
Peterborough Sports 2
Macclesfield 3
Coalville Town 0
Bromley 2
Barnet 0
Wealdstone 1
Solihull Moors 2
Semi-finals
Gateshead 2
Macclesfield 1
Bromley 1
Solihull Moors 2
Final
Gateshead 3
Solihull Moors 2