Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bath City vs Maidstone

England England

National League South 2025/2026 Twerton Park, Bath
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Wilson S.
40' Event
Wilson S.
70' Event
Yila J.

AI Match Summary

Maidstone in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maidstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bath City
15%
Draws
64%
Maidstone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maidstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bath City haven't matched Maidstone's recent run of results.
  • Maidstone are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bath City Clean Sheet 14%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bath City Maidstone
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 21
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Bath City vs Maidstone
2:3
Dec 6, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Bath City
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Bath City
3:0
Nov 19, 2024 National League South
Bath City vs Maidstone
3:3
Mar 5, 2024 National League South
Maidstone vs Bath City
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bath City Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Yila J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fowler G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bath City 19 / 100
Maidstone 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bath City Maidstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maidstone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Bath City's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Maidstone has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Bath City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bath City VS Maidstone
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bath City

(Home)
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
05 Sept
Bath City
0 : 2
Weymouth
31 Aug
Frome Town
1 : 0
Bath City
29 Aug
Bath City
1 : 2
Uxbridge
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Bath City
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Maidstone

(Away)
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
05 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 0
Weston-super-Mare
31 Aug
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 4
Maidstone
29 Aug
Maidstone
2 : 1
Salisbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Worthing FC 46 25 9 12 99:52 84
2 Hornchurch 46 23 12 11 81:64 81
3 Torquay 46 24 8 14 87:62 80
4 Dorking Wanderers 46 23 10 13 78:61 79
5 Hemel Hempstead 46 23 10 13 55:48 79
6 Weston-super-Mare 46 23 9 14 61:48 78
7 Maidenhead 46 22 11 13 66:41 77
8 Maidstone 46 22 11 13 72:50 77
9 Ebbsfleet 46 22 11 13 73:54 77
10 Chelmsford 46 21 10 15 73:62 73
11 Chesham 46 21 9 16 68:55 72
12 AFC Totton 46 20 6 20 60:79 66
13 Dagenham & Red. 46 17 13 16 61:62 64
14 Tonbridge 46 16 12 18 66:65 60
15 Horsham FC 46 15 14 17 53:54 59
16 Slough Town 46 15 9 22 69:87 54
17 Salisbury 46 14 11 21 50:65 53
18 Hampton & Richmond 46 14 11 21 56:72 53
19 Farnborough 46 14 11 21 72:92 53
20 Dover Ath. 46 13 11 22 60:75 50
21 Bath City 46 10 13 23 50:77 43
22 Chippenham Town 46 11 9 26 53:80 42
23 Enfield Town 46 9 13 24 55:82 40
24 Eastbourne Borough 46 9 9 28 59:90 36
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)