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Baumberg vs Straelen Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024
Sun, Apr 28, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baumberg host Straelen in the Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Baumberg have averaged 1.95 scored and 1.92 conceded recently, against Straelen's 2 scored and 1.08 conceded. Past meetings favor Straelen slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.50, favoring Straelen. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Baumberg
20%
Draws
52%
Straelen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Straelen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baumberg come out ahead of Straelen on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Baumberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Baumberg Clean Sheet 16%
Straelen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baumberg Straelen
Matches Played 38 12
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 1
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.95 2
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Straelen
0:0
Oct 28, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Straelen vs Baumberg
1:2
May 24, 2020 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Straelen
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Oberliga Niederrhein
Straelen vs Baumberg
4:2
May 12, 2018 Oberliga Niederrhein
Straelen vs Baumberg
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baumberg 36 / 100
Straelen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baumberg Straelen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Baumberg scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Baumberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Straelen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 12 matches.

Scoring Trends

Baumberg VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baumberg

(Home)
02 Oct
Wuppertaler
4 : 0
Baumberg
27 Sept
Baumberg
1 : 2
Germania Ratingen
19 Sept
FC Monheim
1 : 2
Baumberg
13 Sept
Baumberg
4 : 4
Juchen-Garzweiler
06 Sept
Solingen-Wald
1 : 4
Baumberg
Page 1 of 8

Straelen

(Away)
15 Dec
Straelen
2 : 0
SW Essen
08 Dec
Straelen
3 : 0
Frintrop
03 Dec
Meerbusch
1 : 3
Straelen
18 Nov
Straelen
3 : 1
Sonsbeck
10 Nov
Union Nettetal
1 : 1
Straelen
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baumberg 32 21 4 7 74:33 67
2 Schonnebeck 32 18 6 8 71:46 60
3 Uerdingen 32 18 4 10 56:40 58
4 SW Essen 32 16 5 11 60:44 53
5 Homberg 32 16 4 12 52:42 52
6 Hilden 32 15 7 10 57:49 52
7 Germania Ratingen 32 15 6 11 55:48 51
8 Sonsbeck 32 13 5 14 50:48 44
9 Buderich 32 13 3 16 52:51 42
10 SC St.Tonis 32 12 5 15 56:59 41
11 Union Nettetal 32 11 7 14 47:62 40
12 Mulheimer FC 97 32 10 6 16 51:61 36
13 Kleve 32 9 8 15 33:56 35
14 Meerbusch 32 9 7 16 52:62 34
15 TVD Velbert 32 7 13 12 50:65 34
16 Frintrop 32 8 9 15 42:59 33
17 Hamborn 32 6 11 15 36:69 29
18 Straelen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2024/2025 (Main)