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Baumholder vs Bitburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Martin F.
60' Event
Schwedler L.
77' Event
Soos R.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024 game between Baumholder and Bitburg finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baumholder.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Baumholder
15%
Draws
36%
Bitburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baumholder

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baumholder come out ahead of Bitburg on wins alone.
  • Baumholder are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Baumholder Clean Sheet 16%
Bitburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baumholder Bitburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.67 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Baumholder vs Bitburg
3:1
Sep 15, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Bitburg vs Baumholder
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baumholder Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soos R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Bitburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Schwedler L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baumholder 75 / 100
Bitburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baumholder Bitburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baumholder Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baumholder scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Bitburg let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Bitburg's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Baumholder VS Bitburg
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Baumholder

(Home)
02 Jun
Cosmos Koblenz
1 : 2
Baumholder
18 May
Baumholder
1 : 3
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
10 May
Waldalgesheim
2 : 0
Baumholder
04 May
Baumholder
1 : 1
Engers
01 May
Mechtersheim
3 : 1
Baumholder
Page 1 of 6

Bitburg

(Away)
17 Jul
Bitburg
0 : 3
Eintracht Trier
07 Feb
Bitburg
0 : 6
Eintracht Trier
23 May
Kaiserslautern II
4 : 3
Bitburg
18 May
Bitburg
3 : 1
SpVgg Quierschied
12 May
Cosmos Koblenz
2 : 0
Bitburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Trier 38 32 3 3 115:34 99
2 Gonsenheim 38 24 6 8 96:48 78
3 Pirmasens 38 22 6 10 92:46 72
4 Kaiserslautern II 38 20 8 10 89:66 68
5 Worms 38 19 9 10 74:51 66
6 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 38 19 4 15 72:58 61
7 Auersmacher 38 19 4 15 64:65 61
8 Morlautern 38 16 10 12 65:68 58
9 Diefflen 38 17 4 17 77:82 55
10 Engers 38 15 9 14 78:65 54
11 Arminia Ludwigshafen 38 14 9 15 63:81 51
12 Karbach 38 16 3 19 70:93 51
13 Mechtersheim 38 12 12 14 67:58 48
14 Cosmos Koblenz 38 13 8 17 72:67 47
15 Waldalgesheim 38 11 11 16 43:62 44
16 Dudenhofen 38 11 9 18 59:66 42
17 Baumholder 38 9 8 21 56:83 35
18 SpVgg Quierschied 38 7 9 22 40:81 30
19 Pfeddersheim 38 9 3 26 46:102 30
20 Bitburg 38 5 5 28 49:111 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)