Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bautzen vs Bischofswerdaer

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 game between Bautzen and Bischofswerdaer finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bautzen
20%
Draws
16%
Bischofswerdaer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bautzen come out ahead of Bischofswerdaer on wins alone.
  • Bischofswerdaer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 17%
Bischofswerdaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Bischofswerdaer
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.84 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Bischofswerdaer
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bischofswerdaer vs Bautzen
1:1
May 25, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Bischofswerdaer
1:1
Nov 20, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bischofswerdaer vs Bautzen
4:0
Apr 12, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bischofswerdaer vs Bautzen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 10 / 100
Bischofswerdaer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Bischofswerdaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bautzen scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Bischofswerdaer conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Bischofswerdaer lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS Bischofswerdaer
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bautzen

(Home)
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
30 May
Auerbach
4 : 2
Bautzen
17 May
Bautzen
3 : 1
Halberstadt
10 May
Halle
1 : 1
Bautzen
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Bischofswerdaer

(Away)
30 May
Bischofswerdaer
2 : 4
Plauen
17 May
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
09 May
Bischofswerdaer
0 : 1
Sandersdorf
02 May
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
26 Apr
Bischofswerdaer
1 : 3
Glauchau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost (Main)