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Bautzen vs Fortuna Chemnitz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Bautzen and Fortuna Chemnitz finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Bautzen
30%
Draws
35%
Fortuna Chemnitz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bautzen come out ahead of Fortuna Chemnitz on wins alone.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Bautzen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 20%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Fortuna Chemnitz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.84 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Fortuna Chemnitz
4:1
Oct 20, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Bautzen
2:2
Mar 11, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Fortuna Chemnitz
2:2
Sep 17, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Bautzen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 67 / 100
Fortuna Chemnitz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Fortuna Chemnitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bautzen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bautzen scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Fortuna Chemnitz let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Bautzen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bautzen

(Home)
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
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Fortuna Chemnitz

(Away)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)