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Bautzen vs FSV Martinroda

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2021/2022 game between Bautzen and FSV Martinroda finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bautzen
35%
Draws
32%
FSV Martinroda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bautzen come out ahead of FSV Martinroda on wins alone.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on FSV Martinroda taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 20%
FSV Martinroda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen FSV Martinroda
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 13 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs FSV Martinroda
5:2
Sep 11, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FSV Martinroda vs Bautzen
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 28 / 100
FSV Martinroda 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen FSV Martinroda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FSV Martinroda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bautzen scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: FSV Martinroda conceded in 88% of 25 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Bautzen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bautzen

(Home)
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
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FSV Martinroda

(Away)
18 Jun
FSV Martinroda
4 : 4
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
10 Jun
An der Fahner Hohe
1 : 1
FSV Martinroda
29 May
Halle
6 : 1
FSV Martinroda
21 May
FSV Martinroda
0 : 0
Wacker Nordhausen
14 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 3
FSV Martinroda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 29 25 3 1 103:16 78
2 Krieschow 29 17 7 5 72:34 58
3 Plauen 29 17 7 5 61:25 58
4 Bautzen 30 16 3 11 74:59 51
5 Sandersdorf 30 13 7 10 48:33 46
6 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 29 12 4 13 43:47 40
7 Einheit Wernigerode 29 11 7 11 49:54 40
8 Halle 30 10 11 9 52:46 41
9 Einheit Rudolstadt 31 10 11 10 42:51 41
10 Bischofswerdaer 30 9 11 10 45:48 38
11 An der Fahner Hohe 30 11 4 15 32:44 37
12 Blau-Weiss Zorbau 30 8 11 11 41:62 35
13 Grimma 29 9 7 13 45:48 34
14 Wacker Nordhausen 30 6 11 13 33:55 29
15 Inter Leipzig 29 8 4 17 43:76 28
16 Arnstadt 29 4 9 16 31:73 21
17 FSV Martinroda 30 4 7 19 34:73 19
18 Jena II 29 11 6 12 0:0 0
19 FC Merseburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2022/2023 (Main)