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Bautzen vs Heiligenstadt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Bautzen Logo

Bautzen

1 - 1
FT
Heiligenstadt Logo

Heiligenstadt

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bautzen
35%
Draws
26%
Heiligenstadt
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bautzen have won more games recently than Heiligenstadt.
  • Win probability leans Bautzen's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 10%
Heiligenstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Heiligenstadt
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.73 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heiligenstadt vs Bautzen
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Heiligenstadt
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 38 / 100
Heiligenstadt 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Heiligenstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bautzen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bautzen scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Heiligenstadt has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bautzen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS Heiligenstadt
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.17
100% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bautzen

(Home)
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
Page 1 of 6

Heiligenstadt

(Away)
30 May
Heiligenstadt
4 : 3
Einheit Wernigerode
17 May
Halle
2 : 2
Heiligenstadt
10 May
Glauchau
1 : 0
Heiligenstadt
03 May
Heiligenstadt
2 : 3
Bautzen
26 Apr
Stendal
2 : 0
Heiligenstadt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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