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Bautzen vs Sachsen Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

Bautzen in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bautzen
35%
Draws
35%
Sachsen Leipzig
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bautzen lately — more wins on the board than Sachsen Leipzig.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 20%
Sachsen Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Sachsen Leipzig
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Sachsen Leipzig vs Bautzen
2:0
Nov 28, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Sachsen Leipzig
2:0
Mar 24, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Sachsen Leipzig
0:0
Aug 9, 2009 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Sachsen Leipzig vs Bautzen
0:1
Mar 9, 2008 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Sachsen Leipzig
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 36 / 100
Sachsen Leipzig 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Sachsen Leipzig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sachsen Leipzig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bautzen scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Sachsen Leipzig's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Bautzen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bautzen

(Home)
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
Page 1 of 7

Sachsen Leipzig

(Away)
29 May
Halberstadt
3 : 0
Sachsen Leipzig
22 May
Sachsen Leipzig
2 : 0
Bautzen
14 May
Gotha
3 : 2
Sachsen Leipzig
07 May
Sachsen Leipzig
3 : 2
Zwickau
29 Apr
Borea Dresden
1 : 1
Sachsen Leipzig
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 30 22 6 2 69:22 72
2 Auerbach 30 17 6 7 63:39 57
3 Bautzen 30 15 7 8 44:30 52
4 Erfurt II 30 12 12 6 48:39 48
5 Dresden II 30 12 5 13 48:45 41
6 Luckenwalde 30 11 8 11 53:55 41
7 Aue II 30 12 5 13 43:47 41
8 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 9 12 9 42:43 39
9 Zwickau 30 10 7 13 39:39 37
10 Sachsen Leipzig 30 9 9 12 33:43 36
11 Chemnitzer II 30 8 10 12 45:50 34
12 Gotha 30 10 4 16 40:55 34
13 Jena II 30 8 9 13 42:47 33
14 Halle 30 8 9 13 34:47 33
15 Borea Dresden 30 7 11 12 33:47 32
16 Magdeburg II 30 6 8 16 37:65 26
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2010/2011 (Main)