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Bayburt Ozel Idare vs Aliaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Saymak M.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Paykoc K.
84' Event
Karaahmet M.

AI Match Summary

Aliaga in this 3. Lig Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aliaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Bayburt Ozel Idare
15%
Draws
68%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aliaga lately — more wins on the board than Bayburt Ozel Idare.
  • Model gives Aliaga a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bayburt Ozel Idare Clean Sheet 10%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayburt Ozel Idare Aliaga
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 17
Draws 11 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.9 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Bayburt Ozel Idare vs Aliaga
0:3
Dec 1, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Aliaga vs Bayburt Ozel Idare
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayburt Ozel Idare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Paykoc K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karaahmet M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayburt Ozel Idare 10 / 100
Aliaga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayburt Ozel Idare Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Bayburt Ozel Idare's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aliaga conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Bayburt Ozel Idare remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aliaga
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayburt Ozel Idare

(Home)
03 Sept
Bayburt Ozel Idare
0 : 7
Giresunspor
26 Apr
Bayburt Ozel Idare
1 : 0
Alanya 1221
20 Apr
Cankaya FK
4 : 1
Bayburt Ozel Idare
13 Apr
Bayburt Ozel Idare
0 : 3
Aliaga
06 Apr
Pazarspor
3 : 0
Bayburt Ozel Idare
Page 1 of 6

Aliaga

(Away)
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
13 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aliaga 30 17 13 0 54:13 64
2 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 9 3 43:26 63
3 52 Orduspor 30 17 8 5 49:20 59
4 Kucukcekmece 30 15 10 5 53:26 55
5 Corluspor 30 16 6 8 51:31 54
6 Pazarspor 30 10 11 9 37:30 41
7 Yozgat 30 11 7 12 43:46 40
8 Osmaniyespor 30 10 6 14 40:50 36
9 Cankaya FK 30 9 8 13 30:52 35
10 Alanya 1221 30 9 7 14 40:40 34
11 Bursa Yildirimspor 30 9 5 16 32:49 32
12 Soke 1970 30 7 10 13 22:35 31
13 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 30 7 10 13 29:39 31
14 Bayburt Ozel Idare 30 6 11 13 28:45 29
15 1922 Konyaspor 30 5 11 14 25:42 26
16 Viransehir 30 5 6 19 16:48 21
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)