Sport Picks
Bayelsa United vs Kwara
Nigeria
NPFL 2025/2026 Samson Siasia Sports Stadium, Yenagoa 
Match Events
47'
47'
Ebimobowei P.
60'
60'
Loveday S.
65'
65'
Wisdom S.
AI Match Summary
The NPFL 2025/2026 game between Bayelsa United and Kwara finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayelsa United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kwara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Kwara carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Kwara a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bayelsa United Clean Sheet 18%
Kwara Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayelsa United | Kwara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.26 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs Kwara
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 NPFL
Kwara vs Bayelsa United
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 NPFL
Kwara vs Bayelsa United
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs Kwara
1:1
Mar 13, 2024 NPFL
Kwara vs Bayelsa United
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bayelsa United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ebimobowei P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Loveday S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63
Kwara Compare
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bayelsa United 23 / 100
Kwara 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bayelsa United Kwara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kwara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kwara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Bayelsa United scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Bayelsa United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bayelsa United VS Kwara
1.14 Goals Scored 1
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bayelsa United
(Home) 01 Jun
Wikki Tourists
3 : 1 Bayelsa United
24 May
Bayelsa United
4 : 0 Kwara
10 May
Remo Stars
2 : 1 Bayelsa United
03 May
Bayelsa United
0 : 2 Rangers International
19 Apr
Katsina Utd
3 : 2 Bayelsa United
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Bayelsa United
4 : 0 Kwara
03 May
Bayelsa United
0 : 2 Rangers International
12 Apr
Bayelsa United
0 : 1 Wikki Tourists
29 Mar
Bayelsa United
4 : 1 Kano Pillars
15 Mar
Bayelsa United
2 : 1 Warri Wolves
Page 1 of 3
Kwara
(Away) 04 Oct
Kwara
2 : 1 Ranchers Bees
27 Sept
Kun Khalifa
1 : 0 Kwara
23 Sept
Kwara
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
20 Sept
Warri Wolves
1 : 0 Kwara
13 Sept
Kwara
3 : 0 Katsina Utd
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Kun Khalifa
1 : 0 Kwara
20 Sept
Warri Wolves
1 : 0 Kwara
06 Sept
Plateau United
1 : 0 Kwara
24 May
Bayelsa United
4 : 0 Kwara
03 May
Niger Tornadoes
2 : 2 Kwara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers International | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 47:27 | 68 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 44:31 | 67 |
| 3 | Shooting | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 41:40 | 60 |
| 4 | Ikorodu City | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 43:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Bendel | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 44:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Nasarawa United | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 37:34 | 56 |
| 7 | Abia Warriors | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 31:34 | 55 |
| 8 | Barau | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 34:30 | 52 |
| 9 | Katsina Utd | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 36:39 | 52 |
| 10 | Plateau United | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 39:40 | 50 |
| 11 | Enyimba International | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 44:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Kun Khalifa | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 42:40 | 49 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 36:41 | 49 |
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 37:36 | 48 |
| 15 | Kano Pillars | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 34:39 | 48 |
| 16 | Kwara | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 32:36 | 47 |
| 17 | Remo Stars | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 42:47 | 47 |
| 18 | El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 27:46 | 47 |
| 19 | Bayelsa United | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 20 | Wikki Tourists | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36:48 | 40 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
