Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayelsa United vs Shooting - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL 2025/2026 Samson Siasia Sports Stadium, Yenagoa
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ebimobowei P.
46'
Sub
Ayobami Junior A. In: Ayodele I.
Out: Ayobami Junior A.
46'
Sub
Akpan J. In: Tijjani K.
Out: Akpan J.

AI Match Summary

The NPFL 2025/2026 game between Bayelsa United and Shooting finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayelsa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bayelsa United
20%
Draws
50%
Shooting
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shooting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Shooting carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NPFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bayelsa United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bayelsa United Clean Sheet 14%
Shooting Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayelsa United Shooting
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.36 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs Shooting
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 NPFL
Shooting vs Bayelsa United
0:1
Apr 11, 2025 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs Shooting
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 NPFL
Shooting vs Bayelsa United
1:0
Jun 16, 2024 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs Shooting
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayelsa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebimobowei P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onyinjekwu C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.68

Shooting Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayelsa United 31 / 100
Shooting 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayelsa United Shooting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shooting conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Bayelsa United scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Bayelsa United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayelsa United VS Shooting
1.6 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayelsa United

(Home)
01 Jun
Wikki Tourists
3 : 1
Bayelsa United
24 May
Bayelsa United
4 : 0
Kwara
10 May
Remo Stars
2 : 1
Bayelsa United
03 May
Bayelsa United
0 : 2
Rangers International
19 Apr
Katsina Utd
3 : 2
Bayelsa United
Page 1 of 6

Shooting

(Away)
07 Oct
Shooting
0 : 0
Kano Pillars
04 Oct
Shooting
0 : 0
Nasarawa United
30 Sept
Enyimba International
4 : 2
Shooting
27 Sept
Warri Wolves
1 : 0
Shooting
23 Sept
Shooting
2 : 0
Katsina Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 38 19 11 8 47:27 68
2 Rivers United 38 19 10 9 44:31 67
3 Shooting 38 18 6 14 41:40 60
4 Ikorodu City 38 16 10 12 43:39 58
5 Bendel 38 14 14 10 44:38 56
6 Nasarawa United 38 16 8 14 37:34 56
7 Abia Warriors 38 16 7 15 31:34 55
8 Barau 38 13 13 12 34:30 52
9 Katsina Utd 38 14 10 14 36:39 52
10 Plateau United 38 15 5 18 39:40 50
11 Enyimba International 38 13 10 15 44:42 49
12 Kun Khalifa 38 13 10 15 42:40 49
13 Warri Wolves 38 13 10 15 36:41 49
14 Niger Tornadoes 38 13 9 16 37:36 48
15 Kano Pillars 38 15 6 17 34:39 48
16 Kwara 38 13 11 14 32:36 47
17 Remo Stars 38 14 5 19 42:47 47
18 El Kanemi Warriors 38 13 8 17 27:46 47
19 Bayelsa United 38 11 10 17 37:42 43
20 Wikki Tourists 38 9 13 16 36:48 40
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)