Sport Picks
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich
Germany
DFB Pokal 2025/2026 BayArena 
Match Events
22'
22'
Kane H.
Assist: Musiala J.
38'
38'
Tapsoba E.
39'
39'
Sub
Lucas In: Poku E.
Out: Lucas
AI Match Summary
Bayern Munich in this DFB Pokal 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayern Munich.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bayern Munich
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Bayern Munich has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bayer Leverkusen.
- Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Bayern Munich.
- Cup tournament structure in DFB Pokal 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 24 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 3.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 3.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2026 DFB Pokal
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich
0:2
Mar 14, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen
3:0
Mar 11, 2025 Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich
0:2
Mar 5, 2025 Champions League
Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bayer Leverkusen Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Bayern Munich Compare
Top Goalscorer Kane H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diaz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bayer Leverkusen 18 / 100
Bayern Munich 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bayer Leverkusen Bayern Munich
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bayer Leverkusen scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
Bayern Munich let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Bayer Leverkusen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Bayern Munich lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bayer Leverkusen VS Bayern Munich
1.25 Goals Scored 3.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Engers0
Eintracht Frankfurt5
RW Essen0
Dortmund1
FC Viktoria Koln1
Paderborn3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach0
Bayer Leverkusen4
Delmenhorst2
B. Monchengladbach3
Meuselwitz0
Karlsruher5
Eintracht Norderstedt0
St. Pauli1
Hansa Rostock0
Hoffenheim4
Gutersloh0
Union Berlin5
Arminia Bielefeld1
Werder Bremen0
Regensburg1
1. FC Koln2
Wehen2
Bayern Munich3
Energie Cottbus1
Hannover0
Sandhausen2
RB Leipzig4
Illertissen4
Nurnberg3
Saarbrucken1
Magdeburg3
Bahlinger0
Heidenheim5
Pirmasens1
Hamburger2
Hemelingen0
Wolfsburg9
FC 08 Homburg0
Holstein Kiel2
Hallescher0
Augsburg2
BFC Dynamo1
Bochum3
Dresden0
Mainz1
Braunschweig4
VfB Stuttgart5
Preussen Munster0
Hertha Berlin1
Ulm0
Elversberg1
Lohne0
Greuther Furth2
Rsv Eintracht0
Kaiserslautern7
1. FC Schweinfurt2
Dusseldorf4
Lotte0
Freiburg2
Lubeck1
Darmstadt2
Lokomotive Leipzig0
Schalke1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt1
Dortmund2
Paderborn2
Bayer Leverkusen4
B. Monchengladbach3
Karlsruher1
St. Pauli3
Hoffenheim2
Union Berlin2
Arminia Bielefeld1
1. FC Koln1
Bayern Munich4
Energie Cottbus1
RB Leipzig4
Illertissen0
Magdeburg3
Heidenheim0
Hamburger1
Wolfsburg0
Holstein Kiel1
Augsburg0
Bochum1
Mainz0
VfB Stuttgart2
Hertha Berlin3
Elversberg0
Greuther Furth0
Kaiserslautern1
Dusseldorf1
Freiburg3
Darmstadt4
Schalke0
1/8-finals
Dortmund0
Bayer Leverkusen1
B. Monchengladbach1
St. Pauli2
Union Berlin2
Bayern Munich3
RB Leipzig3
Magdeburg1
Hamburger1
Holstein Kiel2
Bochum0
VfB Stuttgart2
Hertha Berlin6
Kaiserslautern1
Freiburg2
Darmstadt0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen3
St. Pauli0
Bayern Munich2
RB Leipzig0
Holstein Kiel0
VfB Stuttgart3
Hertha Berlin1
Freiburg2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen0
Bayern Munich2
VfB Stuttgart2
Freiburg1
Final
Bayern Munich3
VfB Stuttgart0