Sport Picks
Bayer Leverkusen vs PSV
Europe
Champions League 2025/2026 BayArena, Leverkusen 
Match Events
5'
5'
Perisic I.
42'
42'
Sub
Tape A. In: Arthur
Out: Tape A.
64'
64'
Til G.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Bayer Leverkusen and PSV finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and PSV come out ahead of Bayer Leverkusen on wins alone.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Bayer Leverkusen taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 13%
PSV Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 2.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2025 Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen vs PSV
1:1
Sep 27, 1994 Europa League
PSV vs Bayer Leverkusen
0:0
Sep 13, 1994 Europa League
Bayer Leverkusen vs PSV
5:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bayer Leverkusen Compare
Top Goalscorer Kofane C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Saibari I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bayer Leverkusen 48 / 100
PSV 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bayer Leverkusen PSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bayer Leverkusen's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
PSV let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Recent resilience: Bayer Leverkusen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bayer Leverkusen VS PSV
2.75 Goals Scored 2.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Bayer Leverkusen
(Home) 15 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
12 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 1 Bayer Leverkusen
08 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 Sevilla
01 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0 RW Essen
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Genk
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 Sevilla
01 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0 RW Essen
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Genk
16 May
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1 Hamburger
02 May
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 1 RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 3
PSV
(Away) 15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2 PSV
08 Aug
PSV
2 : 2 Sittard
02 Aug
PSV
0 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
28 Jul
PSV
3 : 0 Eindhoven FC
25 Jul
PSV
1 : 3 Villarreal
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2 PSV
10 May
G.A. Eagles
1 : 4 PSV
02 May
Ajax
2 : 2 PSV
11 Apr
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 2 PSV
22 Mar
Telstar
3 : 1 PSV
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
