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Bayer Leverkusen W vs Mainz W

World World

Club Friendly Women
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Sternad M.
90' Event
Brandau J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly Women game between Bayer Leverkusen W and Mainz W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bayer Leverkusen W
39%
Draws
30%
Mainz W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mainz W come out ahead of Bayer Leverkusen W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 10%
Mainz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Mainz W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 18
Draws 1 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2.38 3.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Mainz W
2:0
Apr 22, 2018 2. Bundesliga Women
Mainz W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:0
Nov 19, 2017 2. Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Mainz W
1:1
Aug 26, 2012 DFB Pokal Women
Mainz W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
2:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sternad M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brandau J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Mainz W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen W 30 / 100
Mainz W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen W Mainz W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bayer Leverkusen W scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Mainz W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Bayer Leverkusen W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen W VS Mainz W
2.38 Goals Scored 3.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%