Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Muhlhaus L.
(Penalty)
45'
Kogel K.
46'
Sub
Gutmann S. In: Schmidt L.
Out: Gutmann S.

AI Match Summary

Werder Bremen W in this Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Werder Bremen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bayer Leverkusen W
39%
Draws
31%
Werder Bremen W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Bayer Leverkusen W have won more games recently than Werder Bremen W.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 20%
Werder Bremen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Werder Bremen W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 14
Draws 1 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W
1:3
Dec 12, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W
6:0
Feb 12, 2025 DFB Pokal Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kramer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Werder Bremen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hausicke L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen W 31 / 100
Werder Bremen W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen W Werder Bremen W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Werder Bremen W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bayer Leverkusen W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen W VS Werder Bremen W
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W26242090:974
2Wolfsburg W26184472:3858
3Eintracht Frankfurt W26163765:4351
4Hoffenheim W26144848:3046
5Bayer Leverkusen W261511046:3646
6Werder Bremen W26127742:3643
7Koln W261141136:3737
8Freiburg W261041244:4634
9Union Berlin W26861242:5130
10RB Leipzig W26771239:4828
111.FC Nurnberg W26641633:6122
12Hamburger W26461626:5718
13SGS Essen W26371622:6316
14Carl Zeiss Jena W26251922:7211