Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion, Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen W Logo

Bayer Leverkusen W

1 - 3
FT
Werder Bremen W Logo

Werder Bremen W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Muhlhaus L.
(Penalty)
45'
Kogel K.
46'
Sub
Gutmann S. In: Schmidt L.
Out: Gutmann S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Werder Bremen W in this Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Werder Bremen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bayer Leverkusen W
15%
Draws
45%
Werder Bremen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Werder Bremen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bayer Leverkusen W have won more games recently than Werder Bremen W.
  • Bayer Leverkusen W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 15%
Werder Bremen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Werder Bremen W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 0 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.3 1.59
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W
1:3
Dec 12, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W
6:0
Feb 12, 2025 DFB Pokal Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kramer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Werder Bremen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hausicke L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen W 35 / 100
Werder Bremen W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen W Werder Bremen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Werder Bremen W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bayer Leverkusen W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen W VS Werder Bremen W
3 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayer Leverkusen W

(Home)
27 Sept
Viktoria Berlin W
0 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
14 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 3
Bayern Munich W
04 Sept
Hoffenheim W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
30 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen W
1 : 2
Wolfsburg W
Page 1 of 6

Werder Bremen W

(Away)
26 Sept
Bochum W
0 : 1
Werder Bremen W
21 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 1
VfB Stuttgart W
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
06 Sept
Wolfsburg W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
30 Aug
Werder Bremen W
2 : 0
RB Leipzig W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)