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Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Allianz Arena, Munich
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bayern Munich host 1. FC Koln in the Bundesliga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Bayern Munich have averaged 3.58 scored and 1.26 conceded recently, against 1. FC Koln's 1.76 scored and 1.69 conceded. Past meetings favor Bayern Munich slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.44, favoring Bayern Munich. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bayern Munich
35%
Draws
27%
1. FC Koln
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bayern Munich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayern Munich come out ahead of 1. FC Koln on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bayern Munich a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bayern Munich have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Bayern Munich Clean Sheet 68%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayern Munich 1. FC Koln
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 3.58 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln
5:1
Jan 14, 2026 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich
1:3
Oct 29, 2025 DFB Pokal
1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich
1:4
Apr 13, 2024 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln
2:0
Nov 24, 2023 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayern Munich 50 / 100
1. FC Koln 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayern Munich 1. FC Koln

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern Munich Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bayern Munich scored in 97% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: 1. FC Koln conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Bayern Munich went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayern Munich VS 1. FC Koln
3.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayern Munich

(Home)
31 Oct
Bayern Munich
2 : 2
Dortmund
28 Oct
Bayern Munich
6 : 1
Magdeburg
25 Oct
Freiburg
1 : 3
Bayern Munich
21 Oct
Bayern Munich
2 : 2
Arsenal
17 Oct
Bayern Munich
6 : 1
RB Leipzig
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1. FC Koln

(Away)
01 Nov
Union Berlin
1 : 1
1. FC Koln
27 Oct
1. FC Koln
5 : 0
Union Berlin
24 Oct
1. FC Koln
0 : 0
Schalke
16 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 0
1. FC Koln
11 Oct
1. FC Koln
2 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 5 3 0 27:8 18
2 Dortmund 8 5 3 0 14:6 18
3 Freiburg 8 5 1 2 18:10 16
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 0 3 22:11 15
5 Werder Bremen 8 4 3 1 17:14 15
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 18:16 13
7 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
9 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
10 Augsburg 8 2 3 3 18:15 9
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 3 0 5 14:15 9
12 Hoffenheim 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 1. FC Koln 8 2 3 3 9:12 9
14 Paderborn 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
15 Hamburger 8 3 0 5 7:19 9
16 Union Berlin 8 1 4 3 7:19 7
17 Schalke 8 1 3 4 4:9 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 8 1 1 6 11:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)