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Stadium Background

Bayonne vs Dinan

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nfati M.
27' Event
Lefebvre V.
90' Event
Fortunato M.

AI Match Summary

Bayonne in this National 2 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayonne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bayonne
33%
Draws
40%
Dinan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dinan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinan haven't matched Bayonne's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dinan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 20%
Dinan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayonne Dinan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Bayonne vs Dinan
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Dinan vs Bayonne
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Nfati M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fortunato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dinan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lefebvre V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 28 / 100
Dinan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayonne Dinan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Bayonne found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Dinan conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Bayonne remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayonne VS Dinan
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325