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Bayonne vs Dinan

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Bayonne Logo

Bayonne

2 - 1
FT
Dinan Logo

Dinan

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nfati M.
27' Event
Lefebvre V.
90' Event
Fortunato M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bayonne in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayonne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bayonne
15%
Draws
34%
Dinan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinan haven't matched Bayonne's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bayonne's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 68%
Dinan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayonne Dinan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Dinan
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Dinan vs Bayonne
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Nfati M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fortunato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dinan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lefebvre V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 50 / 100
Dinan 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayonne Dinan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayonne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bayonne remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Bayonne found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Dinan conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bayonne VS Dinan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayonne

(Home)
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
21 Aug
Granville
1 : 3
Bayonne
16 May
Bayonne
3 : 2
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6

Dinan

(Away)
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
05 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
0 : 1
Dinan
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
22 Aug
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Dinan
16 May
Dinan
3 : 1
Angouleme CFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)