Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayonne vs Saumur Olympique

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Fortunato M.

AI Match Summary

Bayonne in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayonne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Bayonne
15%
Draws
20%
Saumur Olympique
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bayonne lately — more wins on the board than Saumur Olympique.
  • Win probability leans Bayonne's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bayonne here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 20%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayonne Saumur Olympique
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 3 12
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Bayonne vs Saumur Olympique
1:0
May 16, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Saumur Olympique
3:2
Aug 16, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Saumur Olympique vs Bayonne
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortunato M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Saumur Olympique Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 85 / 100
Saumur Olympique 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayonne Saumur Olympique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayonne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saumur Olympique has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Bayonne scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bayonne stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayonne VS Saumur Olympique
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayonne

(Home)
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6

Saumur Olympique

(Away)
03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1
Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0
Saumur Olympique
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
5 Dinan 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 St. Colomban Locmine 6 1 2 3 3:5 5
13 Saumur Olympique 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
14 Pontivy 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 6 0 3 3 3:10 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)