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Bayonne vs Tarbes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bayonne host Tarbes in the National 1 - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tarbes have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Bayonne have conceded 0.89 and scored 1.36. Head-to-head, Bayonne have won 2 to Tarbes's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2016, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.51) point toward Bayonne. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bayonne
20%
Draws
40%
Tarbes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tarbes haven't matched Bayonne's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bayonne's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 20%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayonne Tarbes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.36 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2016 National 1 - Group C
Tarbes vs Bayonne
0:2
Oct 17, 2015 National 1 - Group C
Bayonne vs Tarbes
3:1
Feb 23, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Tarbes vs Bayonne
0:0
Sep 8, 2012 National 1 - Group C
Bayonne vs Tarbes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 42 / 100
Tarbes 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayonne Tarbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayonne's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Tarbes has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Bayonne remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayonne VS Tarbes
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayonne

(Home)
30 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 3
Avranches
17 Oct
Dinan
0 : 2
Bayonne
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Page 1 of 6

Tarbes

(Away)
31 Oct
Tarbes
2 : 1
Chauray
17 Oct
Avranches
2 : 0
Tarbes
03 Oct
Tarbes
0 : 0
Dinan
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 9 7 2 0 14:5 23
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 9 3 3 3 10:8 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)