Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayreuth vs Illertissen

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Shaqiri E.
52' Event
Redier O.
57' Event
Onuigwe K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Bayern matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bayreuth
15%
Draws
57%
Illertissen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Illertissen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Illertissen have won more games recently than Bayreuth.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bayreuth Clean Sheet 12%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayreuth Illertissen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.83 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs Illertissen
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Bayreuth
4:0
Aug 1, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs Illertissen
1:5
Apr 15, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Bayreuth
3:3
Sep 14, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs Illertissen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayreuth Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaqiri E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onuigwe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Illertissen Compare

Top Goalscorer Redier O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cassaniti N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayreuth 30 / 100
Illertissen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayreuth Illertissen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Bayreuth found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Illertissen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Illertissen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayreuth VS Illertissen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayreuth

(Home)
19 Sept
Bayreuth
0 : 2
Unterhaching
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
12 Sept
Ansbach
1 : 0
Bayreuth
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4
Burghausen
29 Aug
Buchbach
2 : 1
Bayreuth
Page 1 of 6

Illertissen

(Away)
19 Sept
Illertissen
0 : 2
Memmingen
15 Sept
1. FC Schweinfurt
0 : 3
Illertissen
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
29 Aug
Illertissen
0 : 2
Bayern II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 9 7 2 0 22:7 23
2 Memmingen 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Munich 1860 9 4 5 0 19:10 17
4 Illertissen 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Unterhaching 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
6 Vfb Eichstatt 10 5 2 3 13:14 17
7 Vilzing 9 4 3 2 14:12 15
8 Burghausen 10 4 2 4 24:18 14
9 Eltersdorf 9 3 3 3 13:12 12
10 Augsburg II 10 3 3 4 15:23 12
11 Bayern II 9 3 2 4 9:8 11
12 1. FC Schweinfurt 10 3 2 5 15:23 11
13 Nurnberg II 9 3 1 5 17:15 10
14 Bayreuth 10 3 1 6 13:16 10
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 10 2 3 5 8:18 9
16 TSV Aubstadt 9 2 2 5 14:16 8
17 Furth II 9 2 1 6 12:16 7
18 Landsberg 9 1 4 4 9:14 7
19 Ansbach 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)