Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayreuth vs Unterhaching

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Koc D.
27' Event
Krupa J.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Stiefler M.

AI Match Summary

Unterhaching in this Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unterhaching.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bayreuth
30%
Draws
47%
Unterhaching
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Unterhaching

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Unterhaching have won more games recently than Bayreuth.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bayreuth Clean Sheet 11%
Unterhaching Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayreuth Unterhaching
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs Unterhaching
2:3
Oct 17, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Unterhaching vs Bayreuth
1:1
Apr 14, 2022 Regionalliga Bayern
Unterhaching vs Bayreuth
2:2
Feb 19, 2022 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs Unterhaching
2:1
Sep 12, 2020 Club Friendly
Bayreuth vs Unterhaching
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayreuth Compare

Top Goalscorer Koc D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bucher L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Unterhaching Compare

Top Goalscorer Stiefler M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Winkler A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayreuth 30 / 100
Unterhaching 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayreuth Unterhaching

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unterhaching Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayreuth found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Unterhaching has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Bayreuth remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayreuth VS Unterhaching
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayreuth

(Home)
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
12 Sept
Ansbach
1 : 0
Bayreuth
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4
Burghausen
29 Aug
Buchbach
2 : 1
Bayreuth
21 Aug
Bayreuth
2 : 2
Illertissen
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Unterhaching

(Away)
11 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 3
Unterhaching
05 Sept
Unterhaching
3 : 0
Augsburg II
29 Aug
Memmingen
0 : 0
Unterhaching
14 Aug
Illertissen
3 : 0
Unterhaching
08 Aug
Unterhaching
0 : 0
Eltersdorf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg II 34 24 5 5 68:35 77
2 Wurzburger Kickers 34 22 9 3 74:25 75
3 Unterhaching 34 22 4 8 72:30 70
4 Illertissen 34 19 7 8 72:46 64
5 Vilzing 34 15 6 13 49:44 51
6 TSV Aubstadt 34 13 10 11 49:45 49
7 Vfb Eichstatt 34 12 12 10 48:37 48
8 Burghausen 34 13 8 13 46:50 47
9 Ansbach 34 13 7 14 54:65 46
10 Buchbach 34 13 7 14 54:69 46
11 Bayern II 34 14 6 14 61:52 45
12 Memmingen 34 10 12 12 43:47 42
13 Bayreuth 34 9 11 14 36:53 38
14 Augsburg II 34 9 7 18 37:48 34
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 9 7 18 39:60 34
16 Furth II 34 6 10 18 47:60 28
17 Aschaffenburg 34 6 8 20 31:71 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing 34 5 8 21 31:74 23
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)