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Bayside United vs Albany Creek

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bayside United play Albany Creek in the Brisbane Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bayside United averaged 2.16 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Albany Creek averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Bayside United won 2, Albany Creek won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 17, 2021 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Bayside United and 1.43 for Albany Creek. This points to a Bayside United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Bayside United
16%
Draws
40%
Albany Creek
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Bayside United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bayside United picked up more points recently compared to Albany Creek.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Bayside United Clean Sheet 17%
Albany Creek Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayside United Albany Creek
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 19 22
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.16 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Albany Creek vs Bayside United
1:2
Jul 24, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Bayside United vs Albany Creek
2:3
Mar 20, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Albany Creek vs Bayside United
5:1
Aug 8, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Bayside United vs Albany Creek
4:0
May 17, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Albany Creek vs Bayside United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayside United Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Albany Creek Compare

Top Goalscorer Cartman J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayside United 43 / 100
Albany Creek 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayside United Albany Creek

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bayside United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bayside United attacking → ← attacking Albany Creek

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayside United scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Albany Creek let in goals in 72% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Bayside United went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Albany Creek lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 72
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414