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Bayswater vs Sorrento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Frank Drago Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Robertson S.
Own Goal
23' Event
Jackson C.
29' Event
Jackson C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Bayswater and Sorrento finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayswater.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Bayswater
15%
Draws
18%
Sorrento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayswater

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayswater come out ahead of Sorrento on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bayswater's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bayswater have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Bayswater Clean Sheet 68%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayswater Sorrento
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.44 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Sorrento
7:1
May 30, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Bayswater
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Bayswater
2:4
Mar 14, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Sorrento
2:1
Jun 10, 2023 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Bayswater
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayswater Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackson C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Novello J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambers K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayswater 95 / 100
Sorrento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayswater Sorrento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayswater Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bayswater scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Bayswater has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sorrento has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayswater VS Sorrento
3 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayswater

(Home)
12 Sept
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Azzurri
04 Sept
Bayswater
5 : 3
Olympic Kingsway
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
14 Aug
Bayswater
6 : 2
Stirling Macedonia
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
Page 1 of 7

Sorrento

(Away)
22 Aug
Perth Azzurri
3 : 1
Sorrento
15 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
1 : 1
Sorrento
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
11 Jul
Sorrento
0 : 2
Fremantle City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)