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Bayterek Astana vs Ak Bulak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bayterek Astana in this First Division 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayterek Astana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bayterek Astana
15%
Draws
46%
Ak Bulak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ak Bulak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ak Bulak lately — more wins on the board than Bayterek Astana.
  • Ak Bulak are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular First Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bayterek Astana Clean Sheet 12%
Ak Bulak Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayterek Astana Ak Bulak
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 1 5
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.68 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2013 First League
Bayterek Astana vs Ak Bulak
0:2
Apr 14, 2013 First League
Ak Bulak vs Bayterek Astana
3:2
Sep 14, 2012 First League
Ak Bulak vs Bayterek Astana
0:1
Jul 6, 2012 First League
Bayterek Astana vs Ak Bulak
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayterek Astana 22 / 100
Ak Bulak 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayterek Astana Ak Bulak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ak Bulak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ak Bulak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bayterek Astana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bayterek Astana's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bayterek Astana VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayterek Astana

(Home)
02 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
1 : 1
Bayterek Astana
24 Sept
Bayterek Astana
0 : 2
FK Kyran
18 Sept
Baykonur Kyzylorda
3 : 4
Bayterek Astana
11 Sept
FK Kyran
0 : 2
Bayterek Astana
03 Sept
Bayterek Astana
1 : 0
Baykonur Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 7

Ak Bulak

(Away)
26 Oct
Ak Bulak
2 : 0
Maqtaaral
23 Oct
Ak Bulak
1 : 0
FK Kyran
16 Oct
Bayterek Astana
0 : 2
Ak Bulak
13 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
1 : 4
Ak Bulak
01 Oct
Sunkar
2 : 1
Ak Bulak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ile-Saulet 30 17 10 3 52:20 61
2 Vostok Oskemen 30 16 9 5 40:21 57
3 Zhenis 30 16 9 5 38:17 57
4 Bayterek Astana 30 14 11 5 39:19 53
5 FK Kyran 30 14 6 10 51:38 48
6 Spartak Semey 30 14 4 12 38:45 46
7 Shakhtar Bulat 30 12 10 8 30:23 46
8 Kaspij Aktau 30 12 7 11 39:31 43
9 Ak Bulak 30 11 8 11 34:29 41
10 Taraz-Karatau 2 30 11 8 11 33:28 41
11 Kyzylzhar 30 11 7 12 36:43 40
12 FC Ekibastuz 30 11 4 15 45:43 37
13 Kairat Almaty 2 30 9 9 12 37:41 36
14 Aktobe Zhas 30 8 2 20 31:62 26
15 CSKA Almaty 30 4 6 20 18:55 18
16 Shymkent 30 3 4 23 20:66 13
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Main)