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BDF XI vs Nico United

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between BDF XI and Nico United finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nico United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
BDF XI
15%
Draws
36%
Nico United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BDF XI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nico United come out ahead of BDF XI on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
BDF XI Clean Sheet 18%
Nico United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BDF XI Nico United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
BDF XI vs Nico United
1:3
Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
BDF XI vs Nico United
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Premier League
Nico United vs BDF XI
2:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
BDF XI vs Nico United
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Nico United vs BDF XI
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BDF XI 32 / 100
Nico United 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BDF XI Nico United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nico United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BDF XI found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Nico United conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Nico United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BDF XI VS Nico United
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BDF XI

(Home)
11 Sept
Tonota
1 : 1
BDF XI
06 Sept
Prisons XI Gaborone
0 : 1
BDF XI
29 Aug
BDF XI
1 : 3
Nico United
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
BDF XI
12 May
BDF XI
1 : 2
Centre Chiefs
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Nico United

(Away)
11 Sept
Centre Chiefs
2 : 0
Nico United
05 Sept
Nico United
0 : 1
Extension Gunners
29 Aug
BDF XI
1 : 3
Nico United
23 May
Orapa United
1 : 0
Nico United
13 May
Extension Gunners
2 : 0
Nico United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sua Flamingoes 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
2 Police XI 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
4 Enesia 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
5 Tonota 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
7 Centre Chiefs 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
8 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
9 Gaborone Utd 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
10 Tafic FC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Nico United 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 Morupule 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Prisons XI Gaborone 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
16 Matebele 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)