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Bdin Vidin vs Etar II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2025/2026 game between Bdin Vidin and Etar II finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bdin Vidin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Bdin Vidin
20%
Draws
36%
Etar II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bdin Vidin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bdin Vidin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bdin Vidin Clean Sheet 12%
Etar II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bdin Vidin Etar II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 1 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.33 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Etar II
4:1
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Bdin Vidin
2:0
May 17, 2025 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Bdin Vidin
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Etar II
2:0
Apr 17, 2023 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Etar II
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bdin Vidin 30 / 100
Etar II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bdin Vidin Etar II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bdin Vidin scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Etar II conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Bdin Vidin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bdin Vidin VS Etar II
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bdin Vidin

(Home)
19 Sept
OFK Levski
2 : 1
Bdin Vidin
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Spartak Pleven II
2 : 4
Bdin Vidin
29 Aug
Bdin Vidin
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Mezdra
22 Aug
Yantra Polski Trambesh
3 : 1
Bdin Vidin
Page 1 of 6

Etar II

(Away)
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
05 Sept
Etar II
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
30 Aug
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 2
Etar II
22 Aug
Etar II
2 : 2
Kom Berkovitsa
22 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
0 : 0
Etar II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)