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Bdin Vidin vs Pavlikeni

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West game between Bdin Vidin and Pavlikeni finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bdin Vidin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bdin Vidin
15%
Draws
0%
Pavlikeni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bdin Vidin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bdin Vidin come out ahead of Pavlikeni on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bdin Vidin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bdin Vidin Clean Sheet 12%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bdin Vidin Pavlikeni
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.35 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Pavlikeni
3:2
May 23, 2026 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Pavlikeni
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Bdin Vidin
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Pavlikeni
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Bdin Vidin
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bdin Vidin 56 / 100
Pavlikeni 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bdin Vidin Pavlikeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bdin Vidin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bdin Vidin scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Pavlikeni lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Solid form: Bdin Vidin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bdin Vidin VS Pavlikeni
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bdin Vidin

(Home)
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
OFK Levski
2 : 1
Bdin Vidin
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Spartak Pleven II
2 : 4
Bdin Vidin
29 Aug
Bdin Vidin
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Mezdra
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Pavlikeni

(Away)
26 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
2 : 1
Pavlikeni
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 2 3 0 9:4 9
3 Bdin Vidin 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Kom Berkovitsa 6 2 3 1 11:11 9
5 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Sevlievo 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 Chavdar Troyan 5 2 2 1 4:4 8
8 Partizan Cerven Brjag 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
9 OFK Levski 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
10 Pavlikeni 6 1 0 5 5:11 3
11 Spartak Pleven II 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
12 Etar II 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)