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BE1 NFA vs FK Babrungas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BE1 NFA host FK Babrungas in the I Lyga. Little to choose between these two on current form. FK Babrungas have shipped 0.66 goals a game lately, while BE1 NFA have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.66. Past meetings favor FK Babrungas slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 19, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.25, favoring FK Babrungas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
BE1 NFA
15%
Draws
41%
FK Babrungas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BE1 NFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Babrungas lately — more wins on the board than BE1 NFA.
  • Win probability leans BE1 NFA's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 19%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BE1 NFA FK Babrungas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 21
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.66 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BE1 NFA
1:0
Aug 8, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BE1 NFA
4:0
Apr 4, 2025 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Babrungas
1:2
Oct 30, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BE1 NFA
0:0
May 24, 2024 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Babrungas
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BE1 NFA 40 / 100
FK Babrungas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BE1 NFA FK Babrungas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BE1 NFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BE1 NFA went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

BE1 NFA's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FK Babrungas let in goals in 38% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

BE1 NFA VS FK Babrungas
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BE1 NFA

(Home)
16 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Neptunas
09 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 2
Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

FK Babrungas

(Away)
17 Oct
FK Minija
2 : 3
FK Babrungas
10 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Jonava
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 27 21 4 2 48:13 67
2 FK Minija 26 22 1 3 70:16 67
3 BE1 NFA 26 17 3 6 48:26 54
4 Zalgiris 2 27 14 4 9 42:36 46
5 Neptunas 27 14 2 11 33:33 44
6 Dainava Alytus 27 12 8 7 40:28 44
7 Tauras Taurage 26 13 5 8 47:35 44
8 BFA Vilnius 27 13 4 10 40:40 43
9 FK Atmosfera 26 9 7 10 40:35 34
10 Garliava 27 9 5 13 34:30 32
11 Jonava 27 8 6 13 31:35 30
12 Transinvest 2 27 7 4 16 32:59 25
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 27 7 2 18 26:48 23
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 27 7 2 18 31:63 23
15 Siauliai 2 27 4 6 17 32:62 18
16 Ekranas 27 4 3 20 27:62 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)