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BE1 NFA vs Garliava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dziugas M.
43' Event
Gudaitis T.

AI Match Summary

BE1 NFA in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored BE1 NFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
BE1 NFA
20%
Draws
28%
Garliava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BE1 NFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Garliava haven't matched BE1 NFA's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans BE1 NFA's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 20%
Garliava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BE1 NFA Garliava
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.66 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Garliava
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 I Lyga
Garliava vs BE1 NFA
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs BE1 NFA
2:2
May 11, 2024 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Garliava
2:1
Aug 12, 2023 I Lyga
Garliava vs BE1 NFA
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BE1 NFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Dziugas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudaitis T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Garliava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BE1 NFA 76 / 100
Garliava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BE1 NFA Garliava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BE1 NFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: BE1 NFA remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

BE1 NFA scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Garliava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

BE1 NFA VS Garliava
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BE1 NFA

(Home)
16 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Neptunas
09 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 2
Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

Garliava

(Away)
17 Oct
Siauliai 2
2 : 3
Garliava
10 Oct
Garliava
0 : 0
FK Atmosfera
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 27 21 4 2 48:13 67
2 FK Minija 26 22 1 3 70:16 67
3 BE1 NFA 26 17 3 6 48:26 54
4 Zalgiris 2 27 14 4 9 42:36 46
5 Neptunas 27 14 2 11 33:33 44
6 Dainava Alytus 27 12 8 7 40:28 44
7 Tauras Taurage 26 13 5 8 47:35 44
8 BFA Vilnius 27 13 4 10 40:40 43
9 FK Atmosfera 26 9 7 10 40:35 34
10 Garliava 27 9 5 13 34:30 32
11 Jonava 27 8 6 13 31:35 30
12 Transinvest 2 27 7 4 16 32:59 25
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 27 7 2 18 26:48 23
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 27 7 2 18 31:63 23
15 Siauliai 2 27 4 6 17 32:62 18
16 Ekranas 27 4 3 20 27:62 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)