Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BE1 NFA vs Jonava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Adetunji K.
54' Event
Houat Y.
83'
Chyzhyk S.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between BE1 NFA and Jonava finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jonava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
BE1 NFA
15%
Draws
18%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BE1 NFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BE1 NFA come out ahead of Jonava on wins alone.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on BE1 NFA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 20%
Jonava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BE1 NFA Jonava
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.73 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Jonava
0:2
Mar 18, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs BE1 NFA
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs BE1 NFA
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Jonava
0:0
Oct 27, 2023 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Jonava
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BE1 NFA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jonava Compare

Top Goalscorer Adetunji K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Houat Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BE1 NFA 85 / 100
Jonava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BE1 NFA Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BE1 NFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

BE1 NFA has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: BE1 NFA scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

BE1 NFA VS Jonava
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BE1 NFA

(Home)
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
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Jonava

(Away)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)