Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BE1 NFA vs Riteriai 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Paukstys S.
32' Event
Paukstys S.
63' Event
Gerasimovas E.

AI Match Summary

BE1 NFA in this I Lyga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BE1 NFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
BE1 NFA
15%
Draws
24%
Riteriai 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BE1 NFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BE1 NFA lately — more wins on the board than Riteriai 2.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on BE1 NFA taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 20%
Riteriai 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BE1 NFA Riteriai 2
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 22 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.78 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2023 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Riteriai 2
3:1
Oct 31, 2023 I Lyga
Riteriai 2 vs BE1 NFA
0:1
Oct 2, 2022 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Riteriai 2
1:1
May 28, 2022 I Lyga
Riteriai 2 vs BE1 NFA
1:1
Aug 10, 2018 I Lyga
Riteriai 2 vs BE1 NFA
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BE1 NFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Paukstys S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Riteriai 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerasimovas E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BE1 NFA 85 / 100
Riteriai 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BE1 NFA Riteriai 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BE1 NFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BE1 NFA went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

BE1 NFA scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Riteriai 2 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

BE1 NFA VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BE1 NFA

(Home)
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
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Riteriai 2

(Away)
08 Nov
BE1 NFA
3 : 1
Riteriai 2
03 Nov
Riteriai 2
3 : 0
Marijampole City
31 Oct
Riteriai 2
0 : 1
BE1 NFA
27 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 3
Riteriai 2
22 Oct
Riteriai 2
1 : 3
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Transinvest 30 22 4 4 83:29 70
2 BE1 NFA 30 17 5 8 51:30 56
3 Nevezis Kedainiai 30 14 9 7 47:32 51
4 Neptunas 30 14 9 7 57:33 51
5 FK Babrungas 30 15 6 9 60:49 51
6 FK Minija 30 15 6 9 45:37 51
7 Riteriai 2 30 13 7 10 49:33 46
8 Garliava 30 9 13 8 43:37 40
9 Ekranas 30 11 6 13 42:49 39
10 BFA Vilnius 30 10 8 12 40:41 38
11 Marijampole City 30 11 2 17 27:64 35
12 Siauliai 2 30 9 6 15 47:66 33
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 30 8 8 14 40:49 32
14 FK Panevezys 2 30 8 7 15 45:59 31
15 Zalgiris 2 30 7 7 16 46:66 28
16 Jonava 30 4 3 23 28:76 15
Promotion - A Lyga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2023 (Relegation)