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BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BEA Mountain host Black Man Warrior in the LFA First Division. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. BEA Mountain have averaged 2.3 scored and 0.94 conceded recently, against Black Man Warrior's 0.74 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor BEA Mountain slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 23, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.19) point toward BEA Mountain. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
BEA Mountain
15%
Draws
27%
Black Man Warrior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BEA Mountain lately — more wins on the board than Black Man Warrior.
  • Model gives BEA Mountain a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 20%
Black Man Warrior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BEA Mountain Black Man Warrior
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 20 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.3 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.94 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior
2:0
Nov 27, 2025 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs BEA Mountain
1:1
Jan 8, 2025 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs BEA Mountain
3:3
Dec 11, 2024 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Black Man Warrior
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BEA Mountain 85 / 100
Black Man Warrior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BEA Mountain Black Man Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Mountain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BEA Mountain scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: BEA Mountain remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Black Man Warrior conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

BEA Mountain VS Black Man Warrior
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BEA Mountain

(Home)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
Page 1 of 7

Black Man Warrior

(Away)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
19 May
Wologizi
3 : 2
Black Man Warrior
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Invincible Eleven 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 LPRC Oiler 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 NPA Anchors 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Liberia Registry 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Watanga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Discoveries 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Freeport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 BEA Mountain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Heaven Eleven 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Paynesville 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Shaita 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Black Man Warrior 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Gardnersville 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Downtown 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Wologizi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borough FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Golden Dream 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 District 17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)